2025 SEC Tournament

#1

Thunder Good-Oil

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#1
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8 teams (#9 - #16) play in the opening round, 1-8 get a bye.

4 teams (#1- #4) get the double bye.
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As of 3/8/2025:

1. Auburn (15-3)
2. Florida (14-4)
3. Alabama (13-5)
4. Tennessee (12-6)

5. Texas A&M (11-7)
6. Ole Miss (10-8)
7. Missouri (10-8)
8. Kentucky (10-8)

9. Georgia (8-10)
10. Mississippi State (8-10)
11. Vanderbilt (8-10)
12. Arkansas (8-10)
13. Texas (6-11)
14. Oklahoma (5-12)
15. LSU (3-15)
16. South Carolina (2-16)

 

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#2
#2
DOUBLE BYE (4 teams)
Barn (15-3):
FU (14-4): Ole Miss
Bama (13-5):
UT (12-6):
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
SINGLE BYE (4 teams)
TX AM (11-7):
Ole Miss (10-8):
Missouri (10-8):
KY (10-8):
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
OPENING DAY (no bye)(8 teams)
Ark (8-10):
MS State (8-10):
VU (8-10):
UGa (8-10):
TU/ut (6-11): OK
OK (5-12): at TU/ut
LSU (3-15):
USCjr (2-16):

As of 3/8/2025:

Mississippi has the tie breaker versus Kentucky.

Miss State has the tie breaker versus Vandy.
 
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#5
#5
I assume no one knows what the tiebreakers are. Kind of pointless at this point I guess with all that will change in the next couple of weeks.
Yea, until there’s probably 2 games left I’m not sure it’s worth diving much into. Big takeaway is Tennessee is absolutely right there for the 4th spot and when you look at the others around them we should fair well with tiebreakers.
 
#7
#7
Yea, until there’s probably 2 games left I’m not sure it’s worth diving much into. Big takeaway is Tennessee is absolutely right there for the 4th spot and when you look at the others around them we should fair well with tiebreakers.

Step #1 is avoiding the bottom half that plays the opening day games. At least one of Missouri, Miss, Miss State, A&M, KY, and TN is going to have to play on day one.
 
#8
#8
Yea, until there’s probably 2 games left I’m not sure it’s worth diving much into. Big takeaway is Tennessee is absolutely right there for the 4th spot and when you look at the others around them we should fair well with tiebreakers.

I believe Alabama and A&M have more losses coming. Today's game was huge. Mizzou might win out. I think Florida drops 1.
 
#10
#10
How do you figure?

USC, LSU, Oklahoma, Ark, GA, TU (ut), and VU have almost locked down 7 of the 8 opening day spots. Barn, FL, and Bama have almost guaranteed at least a single bye. That leaves the 6 I’ve listed as competing to avoid the 8 playing on opening day. One of Missouri, Miss, Miss State, A&M, KY, and TN has to get no bye.
 
#11
#11
USC, LSU, Oklahoma, Ark, GA, TU (ut), and VU have almost locked down 7 of the 8 opening day spots. Barn, FL, and Bama have almost guaranteed at least a single bye. That leaves the 6 I’ve listed as competing to avoid the 8 playing on opening day. One of Missouri, Miss, Miss State, A&M, KY, and TN has to get no bye.
Apologies, didn’t realize it’s now 4 games opening night and not 2.
 
#12
#12
Head-to-head tiebreakers definitely matter and making the picture clearer...

...and Tennessee has a bunch against A&M and Missouri now. If those also take out Bama (at home), Vols looking good to get a double-bye. 3-way ties will go the Vols way, esp now that Kentucky won't be part of a tiebreaker scenario.
 
#13
#13
I know the goal is to win it all.....banners in the rafters.....etc, etc......but honestly? If we win 1 or 2 just to pad the resume then exit i won't be too disappointed. A week of non stop ball that transitions straight into March Madness hasn't been our friend in terms of getting to the Final Four past couple years........ Tired legs? Emotionally drained? Focus fatigue?......id be ok with extra days off to focus on March to be honest.
 
#14
#14
Looking at remaining SEC schedules, I think Missouri is our biggest threat in terms of getting that last double bye spot. After tonight we’ll be tied with them but have the tiebreaker. They have USC, at Vandy, at Oklahoma, and Kentucky left. Those last three are all difficult games but none daunting for a team as good as Missouri, though Kentucky should be healthier by that last week. We just need to match them the rest of the way (@lsu, Alabama, @Ole Miss, SC). Assuming we both beat South Carolina at home, we need to have the same record or better against @lsu, Alabama, and @Ole Miss as they do @Vandy, @Oklahoma, and Kentucky
 
#15
#15
I know the goal is to win it all.....banners in the rafters.....etc, etc......but honestly? If we win 1 or 2 just to pad the resume then exit i won't be too disappointed. A week of non stop ball that transitions straight into March Madness hasn't been our friend in terms of getting to the Final Four past couple years........ Tired legs? Emotionally drained? Focus fatigue?......id be ok with extra days off to focus on March to be honest.

That’s an opinion shared by a lot of posters that don’t think anything outside of the NCAAT matters. Despite it being so random, biased, dependent on whether the refs are in a pissy mood, matchups, draws, nuns, the favors being handed out by the selection committee, and luck.

But there will be an SECT in Nashville in 3 weeks. So this thread is about that tournament.
 
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#16
#16
That’s an opinion shared by a lot of posters that don’t think anything outside of the NCAAT matters. Despite it being so random, biased, dependent on whether the refs are in a pissy mood, matchups, draws, nuns, the favors being handed out by the selection committee, and luck.

But there will be an SECT in Nashville in 3 weeks. So this thread is about that tournament.

Correct.......that's why I referenced the tournament several times in my post.
 
#17
#17
I know the goal is to win it all.....banners in the rafters.....etc, etc......but honestly? If we win 1 or 2 just to pad the resume then exit i won't be too disappointed. A week of non stop ball that transitions straight into March Madness hasn't been our friend in terms of getting to the Final Four past couple years........ Tired legs? Emotionally drained? Focus fatigue?......id be ok with extra days off to focus on March to be honest.
If it was up to me I wouldn't even take part.
I definitely wouldn't play Felix.
He needs all the rest he can get to heal that ankle up. You can tell the last couple of games it's been really bothering him.
Our bench is short too, like you said. I don't want to be on tired legs when the one for all the marbles starts
 
#18
#18
Worst case scenario for me might be losing in the finals on Sunday. Winning Friday, Saturday, and Sunday and not playing far away and/or on Thursday in the NCAAT wouldn’t be horrible.

But since there will be a tournament, why not just kick some ass? Hopefully no overtime or close games.
 
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#19
#19
2024 tie breakers (assume adding Texas and OK doesn’t alter the procedure):

Two-Team Tie

The following procedure will be used in the following order until the tie is broken:

1. Won-lost results of head-to-head competition between the two teams.

2. Won-lost record of the two teams versus the No. 1 seed (and proceeding through the No. 14 seed, if necessary).

3. Coin flip by the Commissioner.


Three-Team Tie (or more)

When three or more teams are tied, the following procedure will be used in the following order until the tie is broken. If two teams re- main tied after a tiebreaker provision, the two-team tiebreaker formula will be used.

1. Best winning percentage of games played among the tied teams (Example: Team A is 3-1, Team B is 2-2 and Team C is 1-3 - Team A would be seeded highest, Team B second-highest and Team C lowest of the three).

2. Best winning percentage of the tied teams versus the No. 1 seed (and proceed- ing through the No. 14 seed, if necessary).

3. If two teams remain, coin flip by the Commissioner.

4. If three or more teams remain, draw by the Commissioner.
 
#20
#20
SEC Now just showed the bracket for the tournament if it started today. Right now, we’d be the 4-seed and our first 2 games would be against 5-seed Missouri and then 1-seed Auburn. Pretty brutal.

Hope we can keep winning and maybe grab the 3-seed. Alabama’s draw is much better with A&M as a potential first matchup.
 
#21
#21
Step #1 is avoiding the bottom half that plays the opening day games. At least one of Missouri, Miss, Miss State, A&M, KY, and TN is going to have to play on day one.
UK has a tough close and tied for the worst record among those teams with Miss State but State having a similarly tough close and UK having the tiebreaker over them makes me think it’ll be State. Could be UK though. Ole Miss also has a very tough close so they could sneak in there as well. I don’t see UT, Mizzou or A&M falling that far. I’ll say State is most likely then I think I’d go UK but only because Ole Miss beat them. I could see UK and Ole Miss tied.
 
#22
#22
I believe Alabama and A&M have more losses coming. Today's game was huge. Mizzou might win out. I think Florida drops 1.
Yeah, Mizzou has a relatively easy close. They could easily sneak in that top 4. At Vandy is probably their best chance to lose. The rest they should win but at OU with OU needing a win badly won’t be easy.
 
#23
#23
SEC Now just showed the bracket for the tournament if it started today. Right now, we’d be the 4-seed and our first 2 games would be against 5-seed Missouri and then 1-seed Auburn. Pretty brutal.

Hope we can keep winning and maybe grab the 3-seed. Alabama’s draw is much better with A&M as a potential first matchup.

TXAM beat Missouri and they are tied with 9-5 records. So TXAM should be the #5 seed right now, not Mizz. TN is also 9-5 but beat both Mizz and TXAM, so TN would be #4.
 
#24
#24
SEC Now just showed the bracket for the tournament if it started today. Right now, we’d be the 4-seed and our first 2 games would be against 5-seed Missouri and then 1-seed Auburn. Pretty brutal.

Hope we can keep winning and maybe grab the 3-seed. Alabama’s draw is much better with A&M as a potential first matchup.
I'm totally fine taking a dive in the SECT, especially this year. I'll trade 3 extra days rest for a seed line.
 
#25
#25
TN will/should be seeded between #2 and #10.

3-way, 4-way, etc ties could invalidate this projection.

TN cannot catch Auburn at 13-5 (in a 2-way tie) for #1.

TN cannot fall below Ark or Texas at 9-9 (in 2-way ties). #12 is the worst possibility, but with the tie breakers versus Mizz and TXAM it might not be mathematically possible to fall lower than #10. The bottom 4 are 5 or more games behind TN with 4 games remaining so TN will 100% stay ahead of USCjr, LSU, OK, and GA.
 
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