photovol
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I do realize there has been several posting's on this very topic. However, I am not sure on how many registered volunteer fans there is on this site..
GBO! :yahoo:
We're talking about two different things. I'm talking overall and you're talking strictly SEC play. The reality is that our schedule consists of conference AND non-conference teams and all of them matter at the end of the year. Don't get me wrong though I'm not ecstatic about our SEC average but I do think it's headed in the right direction.
I'm excited about the lack of high expectations for this team. Hopefully that will translate into a team that plays a little more loose, and hopefully Butch will not be the same ole Butch. That being said, I see us at 8-4, no better or no worse.
So we end up in a paradoxical loop...
Lower Expectations->More Wins->Higher Expectations->More losses->Lower Expectations...and so on and so forth.
If we end up at 8-4 overall, what's conference record 4-4 or 5-3?
hm. college football is cyclical, so your 1st point, yes, that's kind of how it works. eventually even Alabama will come back to Earth.
your 2nd point...i go back and forth with what game i think will be the most winnable. FL or GA? to go 5-3, i think we absolutely have to win one of those. if we lose both, then it looks like to get there we'd have to beat LSU....
but honestly i'm not prepared to say we will win any of the three. FL is so early, i'm not sure we'll be ready from a chemistry standpoint, so i look at GA maybe being far enough along to maybe have a few things figured out if healthy, and it's at home. so a very soft lean to GA, but i think they'll be better than they were last year. i don't think FL will be great though, so we may catch them in a similar position we're in, still trying to figure things out....so i'm conflicted on those two games.
and who knows what LSU will be. they have talent, but it's late in the season, at home, and they will have been thru the majority of their SEC W gauntlet by then....so maybe they're beat up and out of contention?
long story short, i think for us to wind up 8-4, our best chance is to beat GT in the 1st game. we do that, and i think 8-4 becomes legit expectation. we beat GA or FL, and more than that becomes a legit expectation.
of course, we could also be 2-3 coming out of September, and the pucker factor would be on warp factor 10 at that point.
so hard to get a gauge right now. lot's of ?'s that need to be answered...
hm. college football is cyclical, so your 1st point, yes, that's kind of how it works. eventually even Alabama will come back to Earth.
your 2nd point...i go back and forth with what game i think will be the most winnable. FL or GA? to go 5-3, i think we absolutely have to win one of those. if we lose both, then it looks like to get there we'd have to beat LSU....
but honestly i'm not prepared to say we will win any of the three. FL is so early, i'm not sure we'll be ready from a chemistry standpoint, so i look at GA maybe being far enough along to maybe have a few things figured out if healthy, and it's at home. so a very soft lean to GA, but i think they'll be better than they were last year. i don't think FL will be great though, so we may catch them in a similar position we're in, still trying to figure things out....so i'm conflicted on those two games.
and who knows what LSU will be. they have talent, but it's late in the season, at home, and they will have been thru the majority of their SEC W gauntlet by then....so maybe they're beat up and out of contention?
long story short, i think for us to wind up 8-4, our best chance is to beat GT in the 1st game. we do that, and i think 8-4 becomes legit expectation. we beat GA or FL, and more than that becomes a legit expectation.
of course, we could also be 2-3 coming out of September, and the pucker factor would be on warp factor 10 at that point.
so hard to get a gauge right now. lot's of ?'s that need to be answered...
I agree, for most teams not Alabama, college football is cyclical in a sense, but I don't think there are any winning programs stuck in a loop like the one that I described above. For the top teams, winning begets higher expectations, which still seam to beget winning.
2017 FL and GA are both winnable games, but IMO GA will field the overall better team, but we have the advantage of having them at home and later in the season, but FL will probably be not as good as GA, we play them earlier in the season and it's in the swamp. I'd say right now, on paper our chances are better against GA than FL.
As for LSU, I think their defense is going to be better than our offense, and even if their offense isn't that great, they won't have to score that many points if they stop us from doing so.
I agree, for most teams not Alabama, college football is cyclical in a sense, but I don't think there are any winning programs stuck in a loop like the one that I described above. For the top teams, winning begets higher expectations, which still seam to beget winning.
2017 FL and GA are both winnable games, but IMO GA will field the overall better team, but we have the advantage of having them at home and later in the season, but FL will probably be not as good as GA, we play them earlier in the season and it's in the swamp. I'd say right now, on paper our chances are better against GA than FL.
As for LSU, I think their defense is going to be better than our offense, and even if their offense isn't that great, they won't have to score that many points if they stop us from doing so.
Didn't really mean to single you out with respect to the first part of my post, apologies. I'm just a bit amazed at the incredibly long leash so many are willing to give Jones as our coach here. He's done a great job righting the ship with pretty much everything he's touched off the field....I and many others have catalogued those things and have given him great credit for having done so.
But after watching what he has done with all the talent he accumulated after 4 years, all the failings on the field in terms of falling short of reasonable expectations, I just don't quite understand all the kicking the can down the road in terms of when we hold Butch accountable for the results he's giving us on the field.
At first it was he's gotta show he can get it done by year 3, which is pretty much the standard for all P5 coaches.......next was year 4, "2016 is the year and was always the year", and we know what happened last year, it was no bueno......now we're pushing it to year 6 or even beyond. So yes, my response was a bit "emotional", but it was far from "completely ludicrous" since so many keep kicking the can further down the road in terms of when we should fairly evaluate Jones. And I'm 100% convinced that there are some/plenty on this board that will still be defending Butch Jones after year 10 even if he's still without so much as an SECe title. At some point, "he's not Derek Dooley" just can't be enough for our program and it shouldn't be after he's collected $40mm and no titles of any kind imo.
2016 should have been the year in my opinion. We had record breaking talent on our team, we even beat Florida, I'll take it in a heartbeat. Sadly 2016 fell much shorter than most people's expectations including mine. If I felt like all the issues we ran into this year were strictly on Butch's head I might be leaning more towards your mindset right now. Between injuries, defensive woes, Hurd drama, and Vanderbilt having a freakishly better than average season(they knocked off Georgia too), it unfortunately didn't work out. In 2015 we had a 9-4 team(5-3 in SEC), in 2016 9-4 team (4-4 in the SEC). 2 consecutive 9 win seasons. The last time we were that good was literally 10 years ago where in 2006 we had 9 wins, and in 2007 10 wins. There is absolutely room for improvement all around, especially on the defensive side of the ball. We're nowhere near the "fire Butch!" rhetoric though. As for the ludicrous description that was in response to your comment that Butch is only interested in bowl wins. Of course he wants more than that.
With Johnny Majors being an exception both Phillip Fulmer and Derek Dooley were not fired until they posted a 5-7 season. I don't expect that trend to change with CBJ. If CBJ posts a 7-5 season which would get us to a bowl game he won't be fired. The next season I believe would be his true test.
Historically TN is a 9 win team. Between 1991 and 2007 TN averaged 9.4 wins per season. I know people think we won the SEC and Natty's every year but that just didn't happen.
I do realize there has been several posting's on this very topic. However, I am not sure on how many registered volunteer fans there is on this site.. BUT.. 2017 football season is fast approaching.. Spring practice is about to resume for this season in full force.
Is there anyone out there who is as excited about TENNESSEE FOOTBALL for this upcoming season as I?? Granted, last season should have been THE YEAR.. Seems as if that has been the moniker for UT for a decade now (Literally). With that being said... Lets look at it from a different angle....
bUTch Jones has decided to get rid of the cancers within the program and has decided to upgrade his staff to compete with the rest of the SEC.. We have a world class Defense Backs coach.. A new QB coach, A new OC, A second term DC..and a possible Tennessee Alumni AD.
We have over 20 seniors coming back next year... A fresh QB.. a new S & C coach/coordinator. I am not saying we have a NC coming our way.. BUT.. This upcoming season.. we should do some really good things..
So many things are going our way for next year..If the good lord above shines down on this team and the stars align ever so perfectly... Next season should be a good one IMO..
Does anyone else have any input for the upcoming season?? Good bad or different.. sum all of it up on this page.
All Sunshine Pumpers and Negavols welcome.
GBO! :yahoo:
FWIW, Peyton's senior year was suppose to be "the year" as well.
The next year? Most around here figured we would need to spend developing new leaders. Turned out those leaders were very ready.
Thing I learned, Don't buy into hype, but always encourage the team. They can take it to a greater level when they feel the support.
FWIW, Peyton's senior year was suppose to be "the year" as well.
The next year? Most around here figured we would need to spend developing new leaders. Turned out those leaders were very ready.
Thing I learned, Don't buy into hype, but always encourage the team. They can take it to a greater level when they feel the support.