That's fair, especially given there's likely only 4 SEC teams available for those 6 spots. The Liberty Bowl is easily one of the two that won't end up with an SEC team.
Though one still has to take into account the "Big 10 / ACC / Big 12 team that used to be in the Pac-12 can still be selected...
You also have the possibility of a Big 12 team given the Texas Bowl (although 8-4 Missouri will probably end up there).
And you also have to factor in that any Big 10 / ACC / Big 12 team that used to be in the Pac-12 can still be selected for one of the old Pac-12 bowl tie-ins first.
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