Utah State opens as early Vegas favorite @Tennessee

#553
#553
I'm sure this has been mentioned but OP is wrong. Utah St isn't a 2 pt favorite. That site is merely a computer system and those are his projected outcomes.

Vegas has not released lines.
 
#555
#555
Wylo said:
Utah State is a referendum game. We will know what the season holds after that game.

No point in going crazy about it till then.
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Wylo, this place exists for going crazy!

sanddune50 said:
Look it up yourself. No one is obligated to help you with this research.
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This! The "do you have a link" crowd needs to look it up themselves!
 
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#558
#558
RiseToTheTop said:
Saw an article earlier today that said they lost the players responsible for over 50% of all their tackles last yr. they guys responsible for 50% of their INTs. Lost over 3000 yards and 20+ TDs on offense. Also said they lost like 4 on the OL and Five that started at least 5 games. They lose about 15 starters in all. Not only is Keeton out for spring but so is the starting RB.
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A few other stats.

UT loses:

51% of rushing -- not counting if Pig stays gone

Loses 4 out of 5 starting offensive lineman

46% of all TD's scored -- if Pig stays gone

Returns a secondary that only had 9 interceptions as a group all season

Starting FG kicker, Punter, and kickoff man all in one
 
#560
#560
TCbodybuilder said:
A few other stats.

UT loses:

51% of rushing -- not counting if Pig stays gone

Loses 4 out of 5 starting offensive lineman

46% of all TD's scored -- if Pig stays gone

Returns a secondary that only had 9 interceptions as a group all season

Starting FG kicker, Punter, and kickoff man all in one
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Only 4 of 5 starting OLs? You counting Crowder who started 1 Gm at center? 😊 Just helping you make your point even further...
 
#561
#561
TCbodybuilder said:
A few other stats.

UT loses:

51% of rushing -- not counting if Pig stays gone

Loses 4 out of 5 starting offensive lineman

46% of all TD's scored -- if Pig stays gone

Returns a secondary that only had 9 interceptions as a group all season

Starting FG kicker, Punter, and kickoff man all in one
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i know what we lost. thats why i posted what they lost.
 
#563
#563
AboveAllNations said:
We will beat Utah State, Arkansas State, Chattanooga, Kentucky and Vanderbilt easily. We will almost certainly lose to Alabama and Oklahoma. That puts us at 5-2 with the following plausible toss-ups:

- away at Georgia
- home versus Florida
- away at Ole Miss
- away at South Carolina
- home versus Missouri

Winning three of those five games would get us to 8 wins, and a lot of those teams have lost a lot of talent since last year. I would be shocked if we finished below 7-5.
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I dont see winning 3 of those 5 "toss ups". and I only consider two of those game toss-ups (maybe 3).

USC and UGA are predicted to be the best teams in the east going in to 2014. And we play them both on the road. Ole Miss has a better than 50/50 chance of beating us on their field, but I'd be willing to consider that a toss-up.

And if we do not beat Florida (which we usually do not do), then you are praying to beat Missouri just to get to 6 wins.

I agree with a previous poster who said the Florida game is not the key to a bowl game, but it is the key to a good season (7 or more wins).

I think they will win at most 2 of those 5 games (probably Ole Miss and Missouri OR UF and Missouri). 7-5 is just about the height of it. I dont see 8 wins, even with my orange colored glasses on. We would have to win one game against Bama, UF, UGA, USC or OK AND not slip up and lose to one of the other teams on our schedule.

5-6 wins is realistic, seven would not surprise me. anything more would be a miracle season for UT because so many things would have to go right for UT and so many things would have to go wrong for those other teams. Tennessee is filling their coffers with good players, but they are not in a position to win yet. Too many Dooley kids left on the team.
 
#564
#564
MWAVolfan said:
I dont see winning 3 of those 5 "toss ups". and I only consider two of those game toss-ups (maybe 3).

USC and UGA are predicted to be the best teams in the east going in to 2014. And we play them both on the road. Ole Miss has a better than 50/50 chance of beating us on their field, but I'd be willing to consider that a toss-up.
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I am going out on more of a limb than I usually do with predictions. I believe that UT is more talented than USCe and believe UT will beat them in Columbia after a week of them pumping up the "revenge" factor. UT will simply be the more talented team. It was close this past season and UT has made more progress.
 
#565
#565
Orange_Crush said:
97% of the "do you have a link" crowd own Commodore 64s. It's true.
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Dr. J vs Bird. I remember the Commodore 64 and the cutting edge graphics and styling.

dr-j-and-larry-bird-go-one-on-one-c64-download.jpg


Commodore-64.jpg
 
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#566
#566
sjt18 said:
I am going out on more of a limb than I usually do with predictions. I believe that UT is more talented than USCe and believe UT will beat them in Columbia after a week of them pumping up the "revenge" factor. UT will simply be the more talented team. It was close this past season and UT has made more progress.
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I agree. I posted this in a thread and got ridiculed for it although i don't understand all the hype for USCw.

If Maggitt and AJ play well together, i could see UT making a good run at Fl and Ga. Florida's offense doesn't scare me and our offense should be better so long as our QB's improve, which i believe they will.

Or maybe i'm just crazy.
Posted via VolNation Mobile
 
#569
#569
sjt18 said:
I am going out on more of a limb than I usually do with predictions. I believe that UT is more talented than USCe and believe UT will beat them in Columbia after a week of them pumping up the "revenge" factor. UT will simply be the more talented team. It was close this past season and UT has made more progress.
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I think we are a push (maybe slight advantage with freshman class) with USCe in talent but they are more experienced, game is in Columbia and they have Spurrier. Last year I predicted the most winnable game in the East was USCe based on your same judgement but the game was in Knoxville. I think they are the best bet again but UF and Missouri are at home so I like the possibility of getting one of those more.
 
#572
#572
thebjd said:
I think we are a push (maybe slight advantage with freshman class) with USCe in talent but they are more experienced, game is in Columbia and they have Spurrier. Last year I predicted the most winnable game in the East was USCe based on your same judgement but the game was in Knoxville. I think they are the best bet again but UF and Missouri are at home so I like the possibility of getting one of those more.
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This. The games being on the road makes all the difference in my opinion. Especially with new O and D lines and all our play making potential is tied up in very young players. We will benefit hugely from playing in front of our fans.

I didnt realize it until I went back and looked, but outside of Lexington and Nashville, Tennessee has not won an SEC road game since it beat Miss. St. in 2007. They havent won in Columbia, SC or in Athens since 2006.

Some people would say "then we are due to win". But I say "it's damn hard to win SEC road games and you need to have a really good experienced team to do it."
 
#573
#573
I think the most likely best-case scenario for this young team is to lose all the road games except for Vandy and to win all the home games except for Bama. That would be 7-5. We have just as much of a chance to win at Ole Miss or USC as we have of losing to Florida or Missouri, so at best I think those 4 games are a wash and wont affect the overall peak of 7-5, but they could be the difference between 7-5 and 5-7.
 
#574
#574
Year-in an year-out, UT is going to play one of the toughest schedules of any team in college football. It is brutal.

Here is my take on 2014.

Utah State - W
ASU - W
@ Okie - L
@ GA - L
FLA - L
Chattanooga -W
@ Ole Miss - L
Bama - L
@ USCe - L
Neck-tucky - W
Mizzou - L
@ Vandy - W

5-7?? Again??
 
#575
#575
thebjd said:
I think we are a push (maybe slight advantage with freshman class) with USCe in talent but they are more experienced, game is in Columbia and they have Spurrier. Last year I predicted the most winnable game in the East was USCe based on your same judgement but the game was in Knoxville. I think they are the best bet again but UF and Missouri are at home so I like the possibility of getting one of those more.
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Not being a smart aleck but have you looked at their early depth chart release? They replace playmakers. I don't think they have recruited well enough to just expect them to reload. Quarles, Sutton, and obviously Clowney were huge losses for them on D. Thompson isn't on par with Shaw.

I would actually give Jones credit for outcoaching SOS last year to get that win.

I also tend to think that UT is on a steeper portion of their exponential learning curve than USCe. They have leveled off in a mature system. UT's gains should be more significant.
 
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