Dave Portnoy Is an idiot!

#26
#26
He's spot on.

All cards on the table, we're about go 0-2 and finish 7-5. Deep down I think everyone here knows it. Though some want to remain positive, which I respect. I'm just not wired that way. I dont live in my hopes, I live in probabilities.
 
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#27
#27
Brave Volunteer said:
He's spot on.

All cards on the table, we're about go 0-2 and finish 7-5. Deep down I think everyone here knows it. Though some want to remain positive, which I respect. I'm just not wired that way. I dont live in my hopes, I live in probabilities.
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Speaking of probabilities…..
IMG_4826.pngIMG_4825.png
 
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#28
#28
Brave Volunteer said:
He's spot on.

All cards on the table, we're about go 0-2 and finish 7-5. Deep down I think everyone here knows it. Though some want to remain positive, which I respect. I'm just not wired that way. I dont live in my hopes, I live in probabilities.
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Which probabilities are you relying on? According to the ESPN matchup predictor, we have a 65% chance of beating Florida and a 58.6% chance of beating Vandy. If you are relying on past tendencies for probabilities, our chances of winning in the swamp would be low but our chances of beating Vandy at home would be high.
 
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#31
#31
deatojl said:
Which probabilities are you relying on? According to the ESPN matchup predictor, we have a 65% chance of beating Florida and a 58.6% chance of beating Vandy. If you are relying on past tendencies for probabilities, our chances of winning in the swamp would be low but our chances of beating Vandy at home would be high.
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The probabilities of what I have seen of this team in 10 games. The probability that we haven't beaten Florida in Gainesville in forever. The probability that this team is soft and has not responded well when actually faced with comparable opponents that challenge them. The probability that this team has taken on the same lackadaisical demeanor as its head coach. I could go on but you get the point.
 
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#32
#32
cherokeeeVOL said:
I don’t think we should be unranked but on the wins I’m afraid he has a bit of a point. Where is Tennessee’s quality win? They definitely have 3 quality losses.
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That win at Miss State was a good win. Granted, we struggled more than you’d expect, but we overcame some major mistakes and won. Syracuse was a good win too when we played them. They’re a far different team now. That’s the case with all teams though. If you’re beating top 10 teams then you end up being one of them. If you beat all the unranked teams then you end up ranked. Thats the way it always works.
 
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#33
#33
newyorkvol said:
The “quality wins” point is a bit deceptive. Because there are only so many losses in the Top 25 teams to be spread around. The top 10 only have 10 losses combined. Seven of those losses came to other Top 10 teams. One was to a team outside the Top 25 (ASU>TTU).

At quick glance, I only found 4 wins in teams 12-25 that are against current Top 25 teams. We are not alone. And ironically for Portnoy, Michigan isn’t one of those teams.
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Exactly.
 
#34
#34
Brave Volunteer said:
The probabilities of what I have seen of this team in 10 games. The probability that we haven't beaten Florida in Gainesville in forever. The probability that this team is soft and has not responded well when actually faced with comparable opponents that challenge them. The probability that this team has taken on the same lackadaisical demeanor as its head coach. I could go on but you get the point.
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So, your feelings?
 
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#36
#36
Brave Volunteer said:
The probabilities of what I have seen of this team in 10 games. The probability that we haven't beaten Florida in Gainesville in forever. The probability that this team is soft and has not responded well when actually faced with comparable opponents that challenge them. The probability that this team has taken on the same lackadaisical demeanor as its head coach. I could go on but you get the point.
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This team also showed great fight coming back against UGA and Mississippi State. Even at Bama, we fought back. When we got the ball back down 10 in the second half we were fighting hard, even after a devastating play at the end of the half. They are undisciplined but they’re not alone. A&M tried to give the game away yesterday many times.
 
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#37
#37
volfan2024 said:
Said Tennessee should not be in top 25 haven’t beaten anyone Im thinking dummy look at who beat us top ten teams . I looked at his Michigan teams schedule they have beaten no one. Perfect case man with a little audience says stuff people follow him the old big ten vs sec bias.
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Portnoy is 5’5” and claims he is 5’10”. He stands on tippy toes in pictures to appear taller.

He has little man syndrome.
 
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#38
#38
cherokeeeVOL said:
I don’t think we should be unranked but on the wins I’m afraid he has a bit of a point. Where is Tennessee’s quality win? They definitely have 3 quality losses.
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Trying to be objective, you are correct. And anytime I see McAfee on my TV, I immediately change the channel. Fortunately, I rarely see him because I only watch in-game programming on ESPN.
 
#42
#42
newyorkvol said:
Speaking of probabilities…..
View attachment 789896View attachment 789897
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I feel like we can win the Vandy game at home for sure. But I’d love to know what they’re looking at to make them believe we have those odds in the swamp. I think we can win that game but it will take a clean, well executed game. 2-3 turn overs and we’re done.

Sure FL doesn’t have a good record, but neither did Arky or MS and they took us to the wire, one being in Neyland.
 
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#43
#43
EastTNVol6240 said:
I feel like we can win the Vandy game at home for sure. But I’d love to know what they’re looking at to make them believe we have those odds in the swamp. I think we can win that game but it will take a clean, well executed game. 2-3 turn overs and we’re done.

Sure FL doesn’t have a good record, but neither did Arky or MS and they took us to the wire, one being in Neyland.
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They aren't Tennessee fans. They don't factor in past success or lack thereof. They have an algorithm(FPI) that they use in matchups to determine the likely outcome of a matchup.
 
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#44
#44
MurphyVol said:
Hopefully we beat Vandy so.we can have a win against a team with a winning record this season.
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I'm concerned about the Gator game next week. Yeah, they aren't having a good season, but they always get up for us. A season with losses to Georgia, Bama and Florida with the Sooners thrown in is just not acceptable in my opinion.
 
#45
#45
madbamahater said:
Who? I guess I'm just too old to know who that is
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Barstool founder. And Dave's secret sauce is that he tapped into the fanbases that is like most of the posters here on VN. Just last week he put on a $1M golf tournament for "content creators." Next week he'll move on to something else He's a lot smarter than he comes off. Sold his company for hundreds of millions and then bought it back for $1 and now pumping out new millions of dollars. Think of Barstool as VN across every sport all on YouTube, Instagram, podcasts, etc etc etc.

And the one thing Barstool/Dave does NOT do is the depth X/O analysis or any in depth like doing the whole analyzing a play like ESPN does.

Oh, and Gruden is on their payroll and really fits in well.
 
#46
#46
TartanTurff said:
Heupel had plenty of chances to change the narrative this year. Wins over Arkansas, Mississippi State in overtime and Kentucky in Lexington are dwarfed by boneheaded plays in the Georgia game, rank incompetence in Tuscaloosa digging a hole that couldn't be overcome and the absence of a substantive defense in the Oklahoma game (plus another boneheaded call at 4th and less than 1).

What Heupel and this staff can do will be fully on display the last two weeks of the season, Tennessee is not a playoff team this year, despite the fact that they are quite talented at many skill positions, this coaching staff and the schemes they throw out there are generally not effective against the better coached teams in the conference.

Currently, Heupel's downward trajectory mirrors the three year decline he engineered at Central Florida, where his first year was his best year, hope he can change that here, but 2022 is a distant memory and any return to the competitive level with the top teams in the conference will require a significant upgrade with coordinators and many position coaches.

This is the SEC.
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You realize we went to the playoffs in 2024, and just ran into a buzzsaw team that recently had their hearts ripped out. Do any of you mensa wannabee's actually watch football?
 
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#47
#47
Brave Volunteer said:
He's spot on.

All cards on the table, we're about go 0-2 and finish 7-5. Deep down I think everyone here knows it. Though some want to remain positive, which I respect. I'm just not wired that way. I dont live in my hopes, I live in probabilities.
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Some people live in their hopes and call it a winner mentality. Others live in their fears and call it being realistic.
 
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#48
#48
Just saw a projected top 25 that has the Vols at 20 just behind Virginia and one ahead of James Madison. Vols are 8 spots behind Vanderbilt and 6th in the SEC. Texas lost to Ohio State, Florida and Georgia. It would be a coin flip on which is the best 3 loss team and Texas may have the edge as 2 of the Vols losses are at home. Anyway - I see no reason to speak poorly about the Tennessee Vols who may be doing the best they can.
 
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#49
#49
Vol in Buckeye Land said:
Some people live in their hopes and call it a winner mentality. Others live in their fears and call it being realistic.
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Lol its not fear. Whether the Vols win or lose, it doesnt affect my life whatsoever. It will affect my mood, sure. But I dont fear that. I'm simply recognizing the situation for what it is. This ain't my first rodeo.
 
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