utVolFanInVA
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CJH has a record of 10-13 (0.435) vs Top 25 teams in 4+ years, since 2023 CJH has a record of 4-8 (0.333) vs Top 25 teams.I think it’s overstated to say Heupel’s tenure has plateaued. That perception exists mostly because we haven’t topped the 2022 win total. It feels like we should have because we were so good so fast, but it’s not as simple as him raising the floor and then getting stuck.
When he got here, the roster had a ton of flaws. Hooker and the novelty of the offense in the SEC masked a lot of that, and we massively overachieved relative to the roster’s overall talent.
Since then, the roster’s been steadily improving top to bottom, but we’ve dealt with the usual college football volatility (quarterback changes, a freshman QB last year, injuries on defense, and a ton of young players this season.) Given all that, I think Heup’s done a really good job keeping the wins coming, and the transfer portal has been key to patching holes and maintaining a high floor.
Now, with all the freshmen and recruiting at its best four-year average in over 20 years, I think we’re in a great spot to see that floor rise permanently starting next year and firmly entrenching ourselves in the upper part of the SEC.
That stat has to improve to at least 0.500 or CJH's tenure will be shorter then he would desire.

