President Donald Trump - J.D. Vance Administration

[hjeagle1vol]

I'll take my shoes off for this one.

Yep... 1.809 < 1.833

It is still less. But maybe you can tell me what amount would make it a worthwhile 'flex'.

Shoes off
We be calculatin things up in here now

 

[appvol]

Some folks just don’t appreciate waking up and not being able to smell the liberal white woman neighbors hairy pits and cat piss from their 1/16th of an acre next door.

That’s my view too. I’m thankful!!

It’s nice to be able to go out on my 10 acres and take a piss in the yard

 

[hjeagle1vol]

I promise your mountain dew and moon pies cost more now than last year.

Mt Dew and Moon Pies
They still make that ?

 

[Ritzwatch]

How do they impact me since you know so much about where I live in the country. The county I live in has about 20,000 people

Avery? Madison?

 

[BigOrangeMojo]

I'll take my shoes off for this one.

Yep... 1.809 < 1.833

It is still less. But maybe you can tell me what amount would make it a worthwhile 'flex'.

Taking a victory lap because we spent 1.8T more than we took in isnt a flex.

If you take out COVID era spending, it would have been more.

It's better than the 1.85-1.9T estimate from last year but let's not pretend this is a good result. Instead of weighing 605 pounds, you now weigh 604. It's better but still not good...

A large chunk of this budget falls on Biden btw...

 

[BigOrangeMojo]

Shoes off
We be calculatin things up in here now

He can put them alligators back on...

 

[hjeagle1vol]

It’s nice to be able to go out on my 10 acres and take a piss in the yard

You know it…hell even my squirrels are like come on man have some decency in the holler.
I just laugh at them though.

 

[Ritzwatch]

Start small with a Seiko and build yourself up to a Patek Philippe. I'm stuck in the Tudor/IWC/OMEGA range right now..

That is a really good place to be. Lots of nice stuff to be had at “accessible” prices.

I’d work up to VC and call it a day.

Only patek I need is my Hamilton Whitford (original “a” model, not the later “b” version.)
It comes with the 770 manual wound movement. So smooth, so accurate. The “American Patek” (as if.)

 

[appvol]

Avery? Madison?

Avery. View from house in the winter

 

[Ritzwatch]

Avery. View from house in the winter

View attachment 783974

Nice. Love Avery.

Gonna have to go buy a tree in a couple weeks.

Say hi to all the Tutterows up there.

 

[C-south]

I bought a Omega seamaster in January for $5600. Now one costs me $6700 due to tariffs. I'll see Trump in hell for this.

Sounds like a good investment.

 

[hjeagle1vol]

That is a really good place to be. Lots of nice stuff to be had at “accessible” prices.

I’d work up to VC and call it a day.

Only patek I need is my Hamilton Whitford (original “a” model, not the later “b” version.)
It comes with the 770 manual wound movement. So smooth, so accurate. The “American Patek” (as if.)

You know what is really great?
When you’re retired, Gage the day as sun goes by, and don’t need a ritzwatch no more.

 

[CobbVol]

Taking a victory lap because we spent 1.8T more than we took in isnt a flex.

If you take out COVID era spending, it would have been more.

It's better than the 1.85-1.9T estimate from last year but let's not pretend this is a good result. Instead of weighing 605 pounds, you now weigh 604. It's better but still not good...

A large chunk of this budget falls on Biden btw...

No, the victory lap is the changing of the guard in regards to spending. Under the BIden admin, the first quarter deficit came in at ~$711B. This projects out to $2.85T left to their ways. This current administration did well with the final number coming in around $1.8B ... agreed?

 

[Orangeburst]

Avery. View from house in the winter

View attachment 783974

beautiful
never heard of Avery.

 

[n_huffhines]

.

 

[BigOrangeMojo]

No, the victory lap is the changing of the guard in regards to spending. Under the BIden admin, the first quarter deficit came in at ~$711B. This projects out to $2.85T left to their ways. This current administration did well with the final number coming in around $1.8B ... agreed?

Little bit of funny math there. The way the revenue comes in, January, April, June, and Sept are the best months and Oct-Dec is usually the weakest. You are giving current admin the credit for highest revenue months (January, April, June, and September) while dinging prior admin for lowest revenue months.

Its not as simple as 711*4

Look at a year over year month chart. Other than a little favorable blip in June, the other 11 months are really really similar with their trend

 

[Orangeburst]

Fiscal Year 2024 (October 2023–September 2024)

• October 2023: $89 billion surplus. The timing of certain federal payments inflated this number, as they were shifted into September.
• November 2023: $314 billion deficit.
• December 2023: $129 billion deficit.
• January 2024: $22 billion deficit.
• February 2024: $298 billion deficit.
• March 2024: $236 billion deficit.
• April 2024: $270 billion surplus.
• May 2024: $347 billion deficit.
• June 2024: $208 billion deficit.
• July 2024: $244 billion deficit.
• August 2024: $380 billion deficit.
• September 2024: $80 billion surplus.

Dec 2024 est at 80B

 

[BigOrangeMojo]

@CobbVol - The June total you can point to the current admin. The tarrifs knocked a normal slightly unfavorable month into the positive. Calendar timing helped too.

April was the other month that was significantly more favorable. To be frank, that was more due to prior year revenue (favorable 2024 tax filings) and anniversarying out 2020 COVID incentives (2024 expenditures) than current admin...

Concern is July, August, and September reverted bsck to historic trend

 

[CobbVol]

Little bit of funny math there. The way the revenue comes in, January, April, June, and Sept are the best months and Oct-Dec is usually the weakest. You are giving current admin the credit for highest revenue months (January, April, June, and September) while dinging prior admin for lowest revenue months.

Its not as simple as 711*4

Look at a year over year month chart. Other than a little favorable blip in June, the other 11 months are really really similar with their trend

View attachment 783978

The revenue numbers look to be indifferent versus others. My point is using your graph the Biden admin in comparing 2025 vs. 2024 was dramatically higher (+$200B). When the administrations changed, the monthly deficit begin to normalize more to 2024. At the Q1 rate the Biden administration was tracking the overall FY deficit would be much, much higher than what it is going to actually be.

 

[BeardedVol]

Another fraudster pardoned after pumping Trump's meme coin.

https://www.wsj.com/finance/currencies/trump-binance-changpeng-zhao-pardon-7509bd63

 

[DC_Vol]

That's awesome. I have that a few miles away. But with horse farms and wineries

Loudoun County?

 

[appvol]

beautiful
never heard of Avery.

There is more 2nd homes than residents. A lot of Country Clubs in the County

 

[appvol]

 

[DC_Vol]

That is a really good place to be. Lots of nice stuff to be had at “accessible” prices.

I’d work up to VC and call it a day.

Only patek I need is my Hamilton Whitford (original “a” model, not the later “b” version.)
It comes with the 770 manual wound movement. So smooth, so accurate. The “American Patek” (as if.)

 

[hndog609]

So mine ain’t cool?
View attachment 783964

I was proud when the gov gave it to me for my lifetime of service. Now I’m sad

I hope so...that's my outdoorsy watch.