✴️ Pick the Score Contest: Kentucky

[RockY ToP 85]

UT 45
UK 31
420 yards against our pitiful d

 

[LT21]

TN 44
KY 30
Def 356

 

[1973Vol]

Vols = 38
KY = 17
Yards Allowed = 325

 

[mpfvol]

Vols 23
UK 22
yards allowed 299

 

[COOTERMAC]

VOLS 41
Kats 24
310 yrds

 

[SubVet676]

Some numbers to consider:

Against P4 teams, UT is averaging 35.0 PPG.
Same, on the road, 35.3 PPG
Defense, giving up 34.4 PPG.
On the road, 32.3 PPG.

Against P4 teams, UK is averaging 15.8 PPG
At home, 18.0 PPG
Defense, giving up 29.0 PPG
At home, 23.0 PPG

Sagarin's Experimental Model has it 39-28, UT. This despite having UT at -3.8 on average across his 5 models.

UT opened at -8.5. Up to -9.5. Average seems to be around 8. The models give UK a 30% chance to win, and 51% chance to cover.

I ignore ESPN's numbers, models, etc. Learned that lesson the hard way. Plus I detest ESPN in all of its formats.

When I scatter the chicken bones...I come up with 29-25. That's a weird score. So call it 28 to 30 for UT and 24-27 for UK. UT wins, UK covers.

Wouldn't waste more than an Abe Lincoln on those numbers.

Edit: Forgot the O/U. 54 is what I'm seeing. So that gives me 31-23. Same win and cover.

It's only Tuesday, and I'm already tired. See y'all tomorrow.

 

[bullet20]

TN 35
krogerettes 10
325 yrds

 

[DeepSpringsVol]

Tennessee 42
Kentucky 17

366 yards allowed

 

[KINGSVOL]

BIG ORANGE 57
Kensucky 14
213 yds

 

[KrazyVolFan]

Tennessee 45
Kty 27
355

 

[Volstar65]

30 UT
20 ky
315 yards tie breaker

 

[badkarma]

Tennessee - 30
Kentucky- 17
Tie - 313

 

[montanatenn]

Vols 30
Kentucky 24
Yards 320

wTh is wrong with you?

 

[cherokeeeVOL]

UT - 38
UK - 21
340 yards

 

[Raleigh-Vol]

Tenn 37
Ky 24
Tiebreaker 401

 

[mommasvol]

TN.= 48
KY= 13
YRDS 289

 

[Pickinhick]

TN 24
KY 10
YDS 312

 

[volfan2024]

Good guys 50
Bad guys 5
300

 

[CBVols]

Vols 32
Cats 21

Total Yards 312

 

[Volteacher]

Tennessee.......... 38
Kentucky............. 41

yards given up 387

 

[Vegas_Ferguson]

Vols 44
Mildcats 31
Yards allowed 411

 

[NO SIR EEE]

Vols 45
Cats 17
245 yards

 

[DaltonVol2298]

This week's tiebreaker is total yards allowed by Tennessee's defense.

How it works:

Pick the score for each team of the Tennessee game. You must pick the winner of the game to win the contest. The smallest score differential will win.

Example (first game)
Prediction: TN 45 Syracuse 10
Actual: TN 38 Syracuse 3
Differential: (45-38) + (10-3) = 14.

Please format your pick with each team on one line like this, with Tennessee listed first:
Tennessee 41
Opponent 0
Tiebreaker 200

The winner will receive a $25 Amazon gift card. Good luck and thanks for playing.

WINNERS (BIG shoutout to @MAD who always helps me with these)

Week 1 winner - @reederw [gift card sent]
Week 2 winner - @ElevationVol [card sent]
Week 3 winner - @Matt2496 [card sent]
Week 4 winner - @imw8n4u [card sent]
Week 5 winner - @Other_Guy [card sent]
Week 6 winner - @Volfanstucknga [card sent]
Week 7 winner - @Volfanstucknga [card sent]

Tennessee 38
Kentucky 17
Yards allowed: 325

 

[Wickman]

VOLS 63
Cats 24

404 yards

 

[jcon]

Tennessee 38
Kentucky 27
371 yards