vegasvolfan
Marketing Professional With 25 Years of Experience
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That's what I was telling another guy above. Florida lost ALOT. People don't realize.He also don’t have Florida in the top 25
Phil Steele releases 2021 preseason Top 25 rankings
Kentucky will beat us again.Kentucky and Mizzou both have very workable schedules. Mizzou wastes their bye week on Vandy but has tough games spread out. Mizzou lost Bolton at LB and a few other stars but found a QB.
KY has FL, LSU and GA back to back. KY has an edge in the trenches but other than C-Rod, they don't have a ton of talent at the ball handling positions. Also KY lost their 6 best players on Defense including Bohana, and their steller CBs. They don't reload like bama and GA, so they will have their struggles.
Tennessee can finish as high as 3rd but I don't think 6th is the cellar for them, I think it is 5th.
SCAR: Beamer and his new OC have never called plays before. Their horrible defense isn't going to be resurrected overnight either.
. Simply put South Carolina has more players returning and more depth I think that’s one of the reasons that they are ranked above us. No team lost as much as we did thru the transfer portal. Pruitt nuked this program and we will feel it for years to come.Kentucky 3rd? Wow. They’ve had the team to beat us 4 years in a row. In no way would we keep a coach who is 49-50 after 8 years on the job. But Stoops has been able to slowly build a competitive program. He can recruit to a system and build a culture, and now they put more players in the NFL than us . Stoops started the same year as Jones, which seems like ages ago.
I’m truly baffled why S Carolina is rated above us, though. That’s a must win if we want bowl eligibility this year.
I appreciate your work on this, but it's a misapplication of statistics to try to predict a chance of error based on a single observation. You could make a rating of his error each year, then take that rating over the last 20 years too try to make a prediction of how far off it should be this year. I haven't done that, because I don't think it's as relevant as talking about strong and weak points of Steele's analysis.So in the East last year he overrated us by 2 spots and underrated Missouri by 3. The rest of the teams were on point or within 1 spot of where he predicted.
In the West he overrated LSU by 4 but everyone else was on point or within 1 spot of where he predicted.
So applying those odds from last year, there is a 78% chance (11/14) we will end up within 1 spot of where he has us ranked. Probably pretty close to that.
The thing I am really interested in is the 247 team talent composite rankings for 2021 when they come out. We were No. 15 last year. I think it's a given we go down, it's just a question of how far. If we've gotten more out of the Portal than we've lost as some contend we should rise though.
. Simply put South Carolina has more players returning and more depth I think that’s one of the reasons that they are ranked above us. No team lost as much as we did thru the transfer portal. Pruitt nuked this program and we will feel it for years to come.
I think it’s a tossup between us and them it’s a game we have to win at home this season.Maybe so but their defense was atrocious last season and other than coaches they have done nothing to address it. They do have one of the best RBs in the conference in Harris but the other 5 star RB they are hyping up is coming off an ACL and will be iffy at best. SCAR probably has one of the 2 worst starting QB in SEC too.
I realize one year is not a large sample size, but one year of data is what Bearded gave me and I was just using the data he gave me to show that Steele's predictions were in fact pretty close. Steele is widely recognized as consistently one of the most accurate prognosticators in the business because unlike alot of talking heads, he puts in the work. I respect that.I appreciate your work on this, but it's a misapplication of statistics to try to predict a chance of error based on a single observation. You could make a rating of his error each year, then take that rating over the last 20 years too try to make a prediction of how far off it should be this year. I haven't done that, because I don't think it's as relevant as talking about strong and weak points of Steele's analysis.
I realize one year is not a large sample size, but one year is what Bearded used and I was just using the data he gave me to show that Steele's predictions were pretty close. Steele is consistently one of the most accurate prognosticators in the business because unlike alot of talking heads, he puts in the work. I respect that.I appreciate your work on this, but it's a misapplication of statistics to try to predict a chance of error based on a single observation. You could make a rating of his error each year, then take that rating over the last 20 years too try to make a prediction of how far off it should be this year. I haven't done that, because I don't think it's as relevant as talking about strong and weak points of Steele's analysis.
They've recruited really well in recent years, they'll be pretty good I think if they find an answer at QB.I’m not Phil Steele but I see A&M being a big disappointment this year. They lost their QB most Wrs & 4/5 of their OL. I don’t see their defense being good enough to challenge.
I’m not Phil Steele but I see A&M being a big disappointment this year. They lost their QB most Wrs & 4/5 of their OL. I don’t see their defense being good enough to challenge.
SCar will be an interesting team. First time head coach and an OC that’s never called plays. And their D was awful last year. But yes, they return more than we do.. Simply put South Carolina has more players returning and more depth I think that’s one of the reasons that they are ranked above us. No team lost as much as we did thru the transfer portal. Pruitt nuked this program and we will feel it for years to come.
Georgia is going to murder Florida this year. Florida is ranked 27 overall by Steele, they lost alot too, people don't realize, you've been psyched out by Jaws' nonsense. UGA will lose to Bama in the SEC championship game (again).
Thing about Florida is they are not in a good situation at QB. It all starts there.