East Tennessee Weather II

#2,954
#2,954
Update:

To start off, the good news is that the moderate risk has been removed. I think I can safely say that we won't be seeing multiple strong tornadoes in our neck of the woods.

There is still an enhanced risk of severe storms for the western half of East TN, and a slight risk for the eastern half. Damaging winds up to 70 mph is looking to be the more primary threat when the storms roll in overnight, but still can't rule out an isolated tornado or 2, as the wind shear is still very strong.
 
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#2,956
#2,956
Watch Alert!!!!!!!!!!

A Tornado Watch has been issued for the western half of East Tennessee (Knoxville and areas west of Knoxville) until 2 am.
 
#2,957
#2,957
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
TNC009-123-139-260500-
/O.NEW.KMRX.SV.W.0005.210326T0355Z-210326T0500Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Morristown TN
1155 PM EDT Thu Mar 25 2021

The National Weather Service in Morristown has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Central Polk County in east Tennessee...
Blount County in east Tennessee...
Monroe County in east Tennessee...

* Until 100 AM EDT.

* At 1154 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 7 miles east of
Benton, moving northeast at 60 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage
to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
Maryville, Alcoa, Benton, Eagleton Village, Smoky Mountains-Fontana
Area, Tellico Plains, Townsend, Walland, Bullet Creek and
Archville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 200 AM EDT for east
Tennessee.

Prepare immediately for large hail and damaging winds. People outside
should move immediately to shelter inside a strong building. Stay
away from windows.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3514 8467 3527 8453 3533 8440 3537 8441
3585 8388 3585 8384 3578 8373 3571 8370
3569 8366 3559 8366 3552 8388 3547 8392
3541 8402 3537 8401 3534 8403 3524 8418
3527 8423 3522 8429 3516 8430 3501 8452
TIME...MOT...LOC 0354Z 228DEG 68KT 3514 8452

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
#2,958
#2,958
davethevol said:
Is this thing going to be a bust?
Click to expand...

For Western TN and Northern MS...both areas that have been part of moderate or high risk the twice in the past 7 days - total bust (thankfully). I don't think there's been a tornado warned storm in Western TN either event with moderate/high risk.

The "epicenter" today was to be around Tupelo, MS. It ended up being south of Birmingham.
 
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#2,959
#2,959
Alert!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

The National Weather Service in Morristown has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Southwestern Hawkins County in east Tennessee...
Eastern Blount County in east Tennessee...
Jefferson County in east Tennessee...
Northwestern Cocke County in east Tennessee...
Northwestern Greene County in east Tennessee...
Northern Sevier County in east Tennessee...
Hamblen County in east Tennessee...

* Until 130 AM EDT.

* At 1236 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 9 miles southeast
of Eagleton Village, or 10 miles east of Maryville, moving
northeast at 60 mph.

HAZARD...Ping pong ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail
damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect
wind damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
Morristown, Sevierville, Jefferson City, Rogersville, Dandridge,
Pigeon Forge, Bean Station, White Pine, New Market and Baneberry.

This includes the following highways...
Interstate 40 in Tennessee between mile markers 405 and 430.
Interstate 81 in Tennessee between mile markers 1 and 37.
Click to expand...
 
#2,963
#2,963
davethevol said:
So what changed that kept this from getting so bad?
Click to expand...

I'm not sure about East TN but in West TN/Northern MS, the early morning convection followed by a significant forecast miss in how far north/timing of the more unstable air thankfully caused two busts here in the past week.
 
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#2,964
#2,964
davethevol said:
So what changed that kept this from getting so bad?
Click to expand...

The secondary warm front didn't come into East TN until after sunset, and that was the front that was going to initiate the bad storms that were seen in Georgia and Alabama. With the warm front lagging behind south of us, the rain that we got in the late afternoon/early evening hours kept the atmosphere rain cooled and stable.
 
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#2,965
#2,965
Alert!!!!!!

The National Weather Service in Morristown has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Northeastern Knox County in east Tennessee...
Southwestern Grainger County in east Tennessee...
Southeastern Union County in east Tennessee...

* Until 1000 AM EDT.

* At 918 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 8 miles east of
Clinton, moving northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Damage to vehicles is expected.

* Locations impacted include...
Knoxville, Maynardville, Plainview, Halls, Blaine, Luttrell, Rose
Hill, Paulette, House Mountain State Park and Maloneyville
Click to expand...
 
#2,966
#2,966
~ Severe Weather Alert~

There is a Slight Risk for strong to severe storms for all of East TN Today into Tomorrow.

Timing:

First round is ongoing and will continue this morning. There will be another round overnight into tomorrow morning.

Hazards:

Large hail up to ping pong ball size and damaging winds in excess of 60 mph are the main threats. An isolated tornado can't be ruled out, especially towards the plateau.
 
#2,967
#2,967
Alert!!!!!!!!!!

The National Weather Service in Morristown has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Southeastern Knox County in east Tennessee...
Northwestern Sevier County in east Tennessee...

* Until 1030 AM EDT.

* At 939 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 7 miles northeast
of Rockford, or 8 miles southeast of Knoxville, moving northeast at
45 mph.

HAZARD...Quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Damage to vehicles is expected.

* Locations impacted include...
Knoxville, Sevierville, McMahan, Lake Forest, Seymour, Kodak and
Kimberlin Heights.
Click to expand...

The National Weather Service in Morristown has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
West central Hawkins County in east Tennessee...
Southeastern Claiborne County in east Tennessee...
Southwestern Hancock County in east Tennessee...
Grainger County in east Tennessee...

* Until 1030 AM EDT.

* At 943 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 7 miles east of
Plainview, or 8 miles east of Maynardville, moving northeast at 40
mph.

HAZARD...Quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Damage to vehicles is expected.

* Locations impacted include...
Rutledge, Bean Station, Thorn Hill, Mooresburg, Evanston, Buffalo
Springs and Treadway.
Click to expand...
 
#2,968
#2,968
Alert!!!!!!!!

The National Weather Service in Morristown has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Jefferson County in east Tennessee...
Northwestern Cocke County in east Tennessee...
Southern Hamblen County in east Tennessee...

* Until 1045 AM EDT.

* At 1000 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 7 miles west of
Dandridge, moving northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Damage to vehicles is expected.

* Locations impacted include...
Morristown, Jefferson City, Dandridge, White Pine, Baneberry,
Parrottsville, Bybee, Piedmont and Lowland.
Click to expand...
 
#2,969
#2,969
Alert!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

The National Weather Service in Morristown has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Northwestern Campbell County in east Tennessee...
Northern Scott County in east Tennessee...

* Until 1100 AM EDT.

* At 1005 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Oneida,
moving east at 60 mph.

HAZARD...Half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Damage to vehicles is expected.

* Locations impacted include...
Oneida, Huntsville, Helenwood, Jellico, Winfield, Elk Valley,
Ketchen, Indian Mountain State Park, Honey Creek State Park and Big
South Fork National Park.
Click to expand...
 
#2,970
#2,970
Alert!!!!!!!!

The National Weather Service in Morristown has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Northeastern Hawkins County in east Tennessee...

* Until 1130 AM EDT.

* At 1041 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Rogersville,
moving east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Damage to vehicles is expected.

* Locations impacted include...
Kingsport, Rogersville, Surgoinsville, Church Hill, Mount Carmel,
Okolona, Kepler, McCloud and Bays Mountain Park.
Click to expand...
 
#2,971
#2,971
For those who live in West Tennessee:

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
443 PM CDT Sat Mar 27 2021

TNC023-039-077-272215-
/O.CON.KMEG.TO.W.0009.000000T0000Z-210327T2215Z/
Henderson TN-Chester TN-Decatur TN-
443 PM CDT Sat Mar 27 2021

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL
HENDERSON...NORTHEASTERN CHESTER AND CENTRAL DECATUR COUNTIES...

At 443 PM CDT, a large and extremely dangerous tornado was located
near Reagan, or 7 miles southwest of Lexington, moving east at 35
mph.

This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may
be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes
will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes,
businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction
is possible.

Locations impacted include...
Lexington, Parsons, Decaturville, Reagan, Jacks Creek, Darden,
Mifflin, Scotts Hill, Busseltown, Jeannette, Haney, Rock Hill, Roby,
Mount Tabor, Middle Fork, Hinson Springs, Cozette, Lick Skillet,
Perryville and Gumdale.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly
tornado is developing. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move to
a storm shelter or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3550 8798 3544 8843 3544 8860 3554 8859
3558 8857 3563 8856 3579 8808 3566 8802
3562 8804 3552 8797
TIME...MOT...LOC 2143Z 255DEG 32KT 3556 8846

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL...2.00IN
 
#2,973
#2,973
Update:

There will be one more round of storms coming through between 5 am and 11 am. It should be a line, so the primary threats will be damaging winds in excess of 60 mph and flooding.
 
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