2021 Schedule Simulation (Just for fun)

[Border Vol]

Here's an interesting simulation website

Best College Football Team

 

[ATLVols]

I would personally flip the UGA score and result as a loss. I’m not sure about Ole Miss either.

 

[Rylee_Vol18]

If that happened, CJH would be voted Coach of the decade.

 

[robby487]

In the real world we will be lucky to win 7 games at best. Just my opinion.

 

[superdave1984]

If he really is an offensive wunderkind, the only team holding us to 10 points would be bama.

 

[LargeOrange1]

I simulated the 2021 Schedule with a simulation tool on the internet and these are the results:
Vs Bowling Green- W 41-6
Vs PITT- W 30-24
Vs Tenn Tech- W 55-0
@ Florida- L 52-42
@ Mizzou- W 34-10
Vs South Carolina- W 48-24
Vs Ole Miss- W 52-20
@ Bama- L 17-16
@ Kentucky- W 34-19
Vs UGA- W 44-10
Vs South Alabama- W 36-13
Vs Vandy- W 45-10

Like I said, just for fun, but pretty interesting. Final record (10-2 Overall) (6-2 SEC)

@BruisedOrange wondered how Heupel's UCF squad from last year would perform against this same schedule, so I simulated that as well. Results below.
UCF 2020 Squad against same schedule
Vs Bowling Green-W 33-10
VS Pitt- L 31-27
Vs Tenn Tech- W 43-10
@Florida- W 41-34
@Missouri - W 48-17
Vs South Carolina- W 29-7
Vs Ole Miss- L 31-27
@ Bama- L 34-10
@ Kentucky- W 31-20
Vs UGA- W 30-23
Vs South Alabama- W 27-16
Vs Vandy- W 65-21

9-3 Overall

 

[Enki_Amenra]

It's a simulation, not my thoughts. Do you guys not read?

It's surprising how many don't actually read the whole OP.

 

[tennesseeduke]

I simulated the 2021 Schedule with a simulation tool on the internet and these are the results:
Vs Bowling Green- W 41-6
Vs PITT- W 30-24
Vs Tenn Tech- W 55-0
@ Florida- L 52-42
@ Mizzou- W 34-10
Vs South Carolina- W 48-24
Vs Ole Miss- W 52-20
@ Bama- L 17-16
@ Kentucky- W 34-19
Vs UGA- W 44-10
Vs South Alabama- W 36-13
Vs Vandy- W 45-10

Like I said, just for fun, but pretty interesting. Final record (10-2 Overall) (6-2 SEC)

@BruisedOrange wondered how Heupel's UCF squad from last year would perform against this same schedule, so I simulated that as well. Results below.
UCF 2020 Squad against same schedule
Vs Bowling Green-W 33-10
VS Pitt- L 31-27
Vs Tenn Tech- W 43-10
@Florida- W 41-34
@Missouri - W 48-17
Vs South Carolina- W 29-7
Vs Ole Miss- L 31-27
@ Bama- L 34-10
@ Kentucky- W 31-20
Vs UGA- W 30-23
Vs South Alabama- W 27-16
Vs Vandy- W 65-21

9-3 Overall

He's fired!

 

[tennesseeduke]

I simulated the 2021 Schedule with a simulation tool on the internet and these are the results:
Vs Bowling Green- W 41-6
Vs PITT- W 30-24
Vs Tenn Tech- W 55-0
@ Florida- L 52-42
@ Mizzou- W 34-10
Vs South Carolina- W 48-24
Vs Ole Miss- W 52-20
@ Bama- L 17-16
@ Kentucky- W 34-19
Vs UGA- W 44-10
Vs South Alabama- W 36-13
Vs Vandy- W 45-10

Like I said, just for fun, but pretty interesting. Final record (10-2 Overall) (6-2 SEC)

@BruisedOrange wondered how Heupel's UCF squad from last year would perform against this same schedule, so I simulated that as well. Results below.
UCF 2020 Squad against same schedule
Vs Bowling Green-W 33-10
VS Pitt- L 31-27
Vs Tenn Tech- W 43-10
@Florida- W 41-34
@Missouri - W 48-17
Vs South Carolina- W 29-7
Vs Ole Miss- L 31-27
@ Bama- L 34-10
@ Kentucky- W 31-20
Vs UGA- W 30-23
Vs South Alabama- W 27-16
Vs Vandy- W 65-21

9-3 Overall

Bout the way I pick games now also! I flip a coin and UT is always heads and we finished 8-4

 

[FïreBall]

It's a simulation, not my thoughts. Do you guys not read?

Don't use the word "hypothetical" either...

 

[VolunteerCeltic]

7-5 can be done next year, its not the offense I worry about though....

 

[Otis1105]

NCAA Game Simulator - NCAAGameSim.com
I only simulated these games one time. I do know from my past use with this tool, that it gives multiple results all the time.

This only goes for the 2020-21 season... JG wasn’t going 10-2

 

[Berry4Heisman14]

3-9 maybe 4-8 at best.

 

[Spawn]

I simulated the 2021 Schedule with a simulation tool on the internet and these are the results:
Vs Bowling Green- W 41-6
Vs PITT- W 30-24
Vs Tenn Tech- W 55-0
@ Florida- L 52-42
@ Mizzou- W 34-10
Vs South Carolina- W 48-24
Vs Ole Miss- W 52-20
@ Bama- L 17-16
@ Kentucky- W 34-19
Vs UGA- W 44-10
Vs South Alabama- W 36-13
Vs Vandy- W 45-10

Like I said, just for fun, but pretty interesting. Final record (10-2 Overall) (6-2 SEC)

@BruisedOrange wondered how Heupel's UCF squad from last year would perform against this same schedule, so I simulated that as well. Results below.
UCF 2020 Squad against same schedule
Vs Bowling Green-W 33-10
VS Pitt- L 31-27
Vs Tenn Tech- W 43-10
@Florida- W 41-34
@Missouri - W 48-17
Vs South Carolina- W 29-7
Vs Ole Miss- L 31-27
@ Bama- L 34-10
@ Kentucky- W 31-20
Vs UGA- W 30-23
Vs South Alabama- W 27-16
Vs Vandy- W 65-21

9-3 Overall

Wow, 17 years of crap and you have us 10 - 2 before the guy even has a full staff and any of his players in place? I'll give you optimism. My money is squarely on the 5 - 7 - 6-6 range. we can revisit after this year and see who was closer. Your optimism or my realism.

Good luck

 

[kell7517]

No, I wish I had some of those old college games though.

Still have all of them.

 

[secking]

I wonder how Heupel's team last year would perform against that schedule? How much is personnel, and how much is system?

If you want apples to apples, using first year (install year) and just SEC schedule, he avg 22.625 ppg against the SEC.

 

[secking]

NCAA Game Simulator - NCAAGameSim.com
I only simulated these games one time. I do know from my past use with this tool, that it gives multiple results all the time.

Pretty cool. Wonder what it says record wise if you go off probability %. I looked up Bama, UF, UGA, Mizzou, and Pitt and % simulations had all 5 winning at 85% or higher of the time.

 

[Tnman1]

In 2019 wins against Georgia State and BYU would have put us at 10-3 with the bowl win, so this simulation doesn't seem that outlandish to me, especially if CJH puts a modern high scoring offense on the field. The battered Vol in me feels differently, I'm just hoping for a surprise.

 

[Red Forman]

I believe a few people in this thread are wearing tighty whities about 3 sizes too small. Loosen up and enjoy life. It’s just a computer simulation for fun. Even If it comes to fruition, I promise you guys will still be able to find something to keep yourselves miserable.

 

[DFWVolFan]

8-5 he gets a raise and extension

 

[chrismc1000]

You paid for that?

 

[Seattle Hillbilly]

6and 6

Not where we want to be but beats the heck out of 3-6.

 

[whodeycin85]

Vs Bowling Green- W
Vs PITT- toss up
Vs Tenn Tech- W
@ Florida- L
@ Mizzou- toss up
Vs South Carolina- W
Vs Ole Miss- toss up
@ Bama- L
@ Kentucky- toss up
Vs UGA- L
Vs South Alabama- W
Vs Vandy- W

I see 5 guaranteed wins, 4 toss ups, 3 losses.....so anywhere from 9-3 to 5-7.....i could see 7 wins...and that would be a great start to the CJH era....but Id take 5-7 if the losses were close and we had shots to win at the end

 

[901 Orange]

seems kind of impossible to predict, there is not enough data to put into the sim. We don't know who will start at MOST positions, from QB to Kicker, it's all up in the air.
It could be as good as 6-6 or as bad as 3-9

Vs Bowling Green- W
Vs PITT- ????
Vs Tenn Tech- W
@ Florida- ???
@ Mizzou- ???
Vs South Carolina- ????
Vs Ole Miss- ???
@ Bama- L
@ Kentucky- ???
Vs UGA- L
Vs South Alabama- W
Vs Vandy- ?????

By my math 10 looks like its possible. Its highly unlikely but very possible. Its not unusual for teams that have some talent to turn it around right after a bad season. Especially if u dont have a really tough schedule. I think we lose to the big 3 plus we let another 1 or 2 slip through our hands. That's like 7-5 ish. We are only overmatched in 3 games. The other 9 are all winnable tbh with a possible 10th win in a bowl game.

 

[Sundeanvol]

This post is the heart beat of the delusioneer. We were god awful last year and lost multiple starters to the protal. So we are setting the bar at 8 to 10 wins. Makes perfect sense.