2021 Schedule Simulation (Just for fun)

#1

NO SIR EEE

The Sultan Of Swat
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#1
I simulated the 2021 Schedule with a simulation tool on the internet and these are the results:
Vs Bowling Green- W 41-6
Vs PITT- W 30-24
Vs Tenn Tech- W 55-0
@ Florida- L 52-42
@ Mizzou- W 34-10
Vs South Carolina- W 48-24
Vs Ole Miss- W 52-20
@ Bama- L 17-16
@ Kentucky- W 34-19
Vs UGA- W 44-10
Vs South Alabama- W 36-13
Vs Vandy- W 45-10

Like I said, just for fun, but pretty interesting. Final record (10-2 Overall) (6-2 SEC)

@BruisedOrange wondered how Heupel's UCF squad from last year would perform against this same schedule, so I simulated that as well. Results below.
UCF 2020 Squad against same schedule
Vs Bowling Green-W 33-10
VS Pitt- L 31-27
Vs Tenn Tech- W 43-10
@Florida- W 41-34
@Missouri - W 48-17
Vs South Carolina- W 29-7
Vs Ole Miss- L 31-27
@ Bama- L 34-10
@ Kentucky- W 31-20
Vs UGA- W 30-23
Vs South Alabama- W 27-16
Vs Vandy- W 65-21

9-3 Overall
 
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#7
#7
We are not an elite program at the moment. 10-2 should not be the expectation going into 2021. A bowl game, any bowl game, would be a step in the right direction in my opinion. History tells us we can be elite, and I think we will be again, but it's not going to happen until we can string together a few solid bowl seasons and stay away from NCAA sanctions. We might have the guy in place to get us all the way back, time will tell. However, even if he isn't THE guy for the long haul, I think he's the guy that will stabilize the program and get us back to some form of respectability.
 
#10
#10
I wonder how Heupel's team last year would perform against that schedule? How much is personnel, and how much is system?
 
#14
#14
As long as you don't count Bama as a win, I'm good with it. I will be very happy with 7-5 next year. Until we can get 90,000 plus fans back in Neyland, we are losing a huge advantage that led to a couple wins a year the last ten years.
 
#16
#16
I simulated the 2021 Schedule with a simulation tool on the internet and these are the results:
Vs Bowling Green- W 41-6
Vs PITT- W 30-24
Vs Tenn Tech- W 55-0
@ Florida- L 52-42
@ Mizzou- W 34-10
Vs South Carolina- W 48-24
Vs Ole Miss- W 52-20
@ Bama- L 17-16
@ Kentucky- W 34-19
Vs UGA- W 44-10
Vs South Alabama- W 36-13
Vs Vandy- W 45-10

Like I said, just for fun, but pretty interesting. Final record (10-2 Overall) (6-2 SEC)
 
#17
#17
MINIMUM we should never finish worse than 8-4 and depending on who our rotating west opponent is, we should finish 9-3 quite often. 10 regular season wins or better, we should hit that every 3-4 years on average. When things are running here as they should, that's what our record should look like.
 
#18
#18
Anybody wanna bet Heupel had his lawyer run this simulation before he accepted the contract? It all makes sense, now.

Seriously, great change of pace (and tone) NO SIR EEE! A most welcome break from the past week's circular firing squad.

(You're running this sim during a virtual class, aren't you.)
 
#20
#20
Anybody wanna bet Heupel had his lawyer run this simulation before he accepted the contract? It all makes sense, now.

Seriously, great change of pace (and tone) NO SIR EEE! A most welcome break from the past week's circular firing squad.

(You're running this sim during a virtual class, aren't you.)
Haha. Kids are currently in the classroom, they are occupied with a movie.
 
#23
#23
That's a heck of simulation. Would be great if it turns out that.

No idea whether or not this new coaching regime will be produce anything different from what we've seen on the field during most of the past two decades: underperforming, poorly coached, and undisciplined teams. Hopefully, CJH will change that. Until he shows something on the field, there's no reason to believe we'll be anything other than a 3-win football team.
 

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