2020 College Big-12 Football Team Talent Composite
They have had a major talent advantage for three straight seasons.
They have Oklahoma to get past. I'll give you that. Outside of that they have zero excuse to lose to any other team in that conference. The big 12 has less talent than the ACC. Those teams should be warm bodies for Texas to destroy every year.
But you are right. Those are good coaches. And they repeatedly handed Herman losses even though he was better at every position. Should tell you what level of coach Herman is.
This is all correct. Texas is #5 in the composite for talent, OU is #9. After that TCU is the next Big 12 team at #28 and then Baylor at #41. It goes downhill from there. Herman was 1-4 against OU, 1-3 against TCU, and 2-2 against ISU. Also 0-2 against Maryland, of all teams. People point to his three losses this year as being by 13 points, which is true, but it also ignores how they had to make a miracle comeback from 14 points down in the last 2:39 to force overtime against a 4-6 Texas Tech team, and eked out a 4 point victory over WVU, who dropped a sure TD that would have won it. The Big 12 was as bad as it has been in years in 2020, Texas had a senior QB and OU was rebuilding, and Texas didn't even make the title game.
Probably more importantly, his record on its face would have been good enough to keep him another year even though it didn't meet expectations, but they got rid of him for what most consider to be a "lateral" hire. Everyone would have understood if they swapped him out for Urban Meyer or Brian Kelly, maybe even Matt Campbell, but to do it for Sarkisian (who I think has a ton of upside and a ton of risk), you have to ask why that is? The reporting is that Herman had alienated every power center in the Texas ecosystem, from boosters to administration, and even to a certain extent the AD who probably would have preferred to keep him, all things being equal. There are all kinds of message board stories about his personal behavior that I won't repeat because who knows if they are true, but they have been consistent for several years and there is a lot of smoke. He had 5 of his 7 team captains opt out for the last regular season game, and now there is reporting that players were negatively recruiting prospective recruits from coming to Texas. Everyone should read this article because it gives a bit of the history leading to his firing.
Texas players were negatively recruiting against Tom Herman
As for the notion that Texas players are overrated, why is that that the state most represented in Alabama's 2021 recruiting class is the State of Texas? Why does tOSU come and take the best players out of the state every year? Same for LSU? Herman had one player out of the Texas top 25 committed for the 2021 class, and the best player in the 2022 cycle out of Southlake decommitted during the season (and recommitted to tOSU). Herman completely whiffed on a historically great O-Line class in Texas for 2021, including two twins whose dad was an All-American at Texas in the 90's.
Like I've said, I think Herman may have a second act in him someday if he works some things out, but I would be real leery of hiring him this year.