Recruiting Forum Football Talk II

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#163,902
#163,902
SweetasSoda said:
Moms have "potty trained kids" parties too, but that was about getting to go inside the bathroom all by your lonesome and shut the door. I guess that would not be a good idea if you had a litter box in there though. Glad my kitties are outside.
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Sorry apparently I had a brain spasm and my reading comprehension was not to be found. Forgot we were talking about alone time in the bathroom or lack there of.
 
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#163,910
#163,910
Georgia –

The first think to know about Georgia this year is that according to their 247 writers they return only 2 regular starters on offense, Trey Hill at center and Ben Cleveland at offensive guard. That’s it. Only 2 of their regular starters from last year from the whole offense, not just the offensive line. Of course they’ve got some other guys who started a game or two here and there and have played in most games as part of a rotation plus they have top flight talent but they are going to be very low in experience. I went through their starting lineups for last year just to see if that was so. It was so. They are ranked 99th in the country in offensive returning production for this year.

The following chart shows how Georgia’s offense has responded in recent years given the transition from one offensive coordinator to the next. There has been a significant drop off in offensive performance for each of the first year coordinators for whatever reason. Given our struggles on offense with a new coordinator for each of the past 4 years I’m wondering how much of that is due to the coaching carousel we’ve had at that position. Fortunately, this year we get to have a returning offensive coordinator and while he completely sucked in his first year at Georgia his offense took flight in his second year, taking them to a conference championship and on to play against our current head coach for the national title that year, which since he was already our head coach at the time, we won.

Georgia offense vs SEC opponents:
ScreenHunter 569.png

Last year some analysts, such as Phil Steele and myself, were expecting our offense to take a step forward and put up 30 points per game but clearly with a new offensive coordinator that was likely not going to be realistic. I imagine it has to be beyond frustrating for some of our players to be switching systems and coaches every year for their entire college careers and even moreso when it’s obvious that the shuffling of coordinators in particular oftentimes carries a major setback in expected performance. Our offense put up an average of 20.0 points per game last year against conference opponents which is par for the course for most teams changing coordinators and Jim Chaney is no exception. jmo.

So Georgia has another new offensive coordinator this year, Todd Monken. Todd came out of Oklahoma State and took the head coaching job at Southern Mississippi in 2013. In 2012 USM went 0-12. In Todd’s first year he went 1-11, winning the last game of the season. In 2014 he increased his win total to 3, going 3-9. In his third year, 2015, he went 9-5 and bolted to the NFL about 10 days before National Signing Day with 23 commits left hanging. His new gig was as offensive coordinator for the Tampa Bay Bucs.

The year before his arrival Tampa was scoring 21.4 points per game. In his first year he got their scoring average up to 22.1 points per game. His second year was 20.9 points per game. His third year Tampa put up 24.8 points per game. At this point it was time for Todd to move on again, this time to Cleveland. In 2018, the year before Todd took over, Cleveland was scoring 22.4 points per game and in Todd’s first and only year (2019) they fell even more, down to 20.9 points per game. In all 4 years of his stint in the NFL Todd’s offenses were well inside the bottom half of the league in their ability to score points. Interestingly, his replacement at Tampa in his first year turned the Buccaneer offense into the 4th highest scoring offense in the NFL for 2019. I think Georgia hired the wrong guy. jmo.

This is how many points Georgia’s #1 ranked conference defense allowed last year, to LSU 37, SC 20, UF 17, UT 14, AU 14, A&M 13, VU 6, UK 0, MO 0. That’s it. Technically, they only allowed 13 to SC because 7 of SC points came from an interception return for a TD. The point is almost nobody is going to scored many points against Georgia’s defense and this year they return 8 regular starters, a slew of other guys with rotational experience, and some of the best talent in the country. Brian Maurer actually beat their defense last year. He had 2 TD passes for 14 points and Georgia was allowing 13.8 points per game to SEC opponents. Brian’s passer rating in the game was one of the highest Georgia allowed all year.

Our defense gave up 37 points to a Georgia offense that only average 23.6 points against SEC opponents last year. (I took out the Maurer fumble return for a TD because that wasn’t on the defense). Still, we were the worst conference defense that Georgia’s offense faced in all of last year and it wasn’t really that close. This was obviously before our defense turned the corner and started winning games for us which it did in fine fashion and in my view deserves the lion’s share of the credit for our current 6 game winning streak. jmo.

This year sets up like this. Most established analysts are expecting Pruitt to field a top 10 national defense this year and from the chart above I think it’s reasonable to expect Chaney’s second year surge in offensive production and scoring. Now obviously we’re probably still not going to score a lot of points against Georgia’s defense so it’s going to come down to this. Can Pruitt & Ansley’s defense stop a Georgia offense that shouldn’t be able to chew gum and walk at the same time? If they can do that, and I’m giving them the benefit of the doubt, then we’re going into Athens for our 3rd game of the season on 10/10 and coming home with a win. jmo.
 
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#163,923
#163,923
gordonr24 said:
I’m a millennial but I know that it’s Gen-Z that Boomers always complain about. They just refer to them as millennials.
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We complain about all y’all good for nothings...buncha underachieving ne’er do wells.

I guess you need confirmation that you are great? Here’s your participation trophy 🏆

Get off my lawn! 😂




Did I get that right?🤔
 
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