Latest Coronavirus - Yikes

#3,630
#3,630
In the US 2.4% of 330 million people is 7.92 MILLION people at risk of death. The majority of which will likely be the elderly and those with preexisting conditions.
 
#3,637
#3,637
Velo Vol said:
I love how he's bouncing back and forth between "coronavirus is all media hype" to "I'm doing awesome in the battle against coronavirus."

Pick one or the other.
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None of what he's tweeting is helping anything or anyone.
 
#3,638
#3,638
Velo Vol said:
I love how he's bouncing back and forth between "coronavirus is all media hype" to "I'm doing awesome in the battle against coronavirus."

Either it's something we must take seriously, or it's not. Pick one or the other.
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Trump is handling this well so far but you wouldn't know it by listening to the lying leftist media. All they want to do is politicize this whole thing.
 
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#3,641
#3,641
Coug said:
In the US 2.4% of 330 million people is 7.92 MILLION people at risk of death. The majority of which will likely be the elderly and those with preexisting conditions.
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First, the percentage you extrapolate from represents the mortality across all countries including many that don't have the first world healthcare infrastructure to deal with the crisis. Second, you can't assume the infection rate would reach all 330 million American's. Using your assumption, the mortality rate to China would have resulted in 33 million dead chinamen (2.4% x 1.38b), a damn site more than the ~2,800.
 
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#3,642
#3,642
NorthDallas40 said:
Try not to pee on yourself while you’re giggling and telling the other girls about it at Sunday book club?
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tenor.gif
 
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#3,645
#3,645
BigOrangeAl 1979 said:
Are you really that stupid ?
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Coug said:
It has a higher fatality rate than the flu by about 20 times. Flu is about .095% fatality rate as of this 2019/2020 season, Covid-19 is between 2.0% and 2.7%.
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The flu infects 1 billion people per year, this virus has infected 100k. That's 0.01%. The flu kills 300k to 600k a year. This virus has killed 3k. I just don't see the reason for 24/7 panic coming from the news.
 
#3,646
#3,646
Septic said:
First, the percentage you extrapolate from represents the mortality across all countries including many that don't have the first world healthcare infrastructure to deal with the crisis. Second, you can't assume the infection rate would reach all 330 million American's. Using your assumption, the mortality rate to China would have resulted in 33 million dead chinamen (2.4% x 1.38b), a damn site more than the ~2,800.
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Good points. By the numbers, assuming a similar percentage of Americans become infected AND that the mortality rate here is similar (highly unlikely, given our resources), we could expect 710 deaths.

For comparison, I believe flu deaths are now over 40,000 for this season.
 
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#3,648
#3,648
Weezy said:
The flu infects 1 billion people per year, this virus has infected 100k. That's 0.01%. The flu kills 300k to 600k a year. This virus has killed 3k. I just don't see the reason for 24/7 panic coming from the news.
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We have absolutely no clue how bad the numbers actually are. We can estimate an R0 of between 3 and 4. That's pretty damn infectious. It Has a 20-30 times worse case fatality rate than the flu. We still know hardly anything about the virus. Nobody on earth has been able to build any sort of immunity to it since it is brand new. Has an asymptomatic incubation period of possibly 24 days. There's a lot of things that point to this being worse than the flu. Panic or don't. That's up to you. But it is absolutely something to be taken seriously.
 
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#3,649
#3,649
Weezy said:
So why is this worse than the flu?
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At least 15X the death rate maybe as high as 30X, and a 14 day incubation period in which it may be transmittable and undetectable. Spreads person-person; WHO says it spreads via respiratory means, making it very difficult to contain. We have flu vaccines, but do not for this virus. CDC indicates likely to become pandemic.

Medical talking heads and "experts" do a disservice by making the superficial comparison with flu.
 
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#3,650
#3,650
kiddiedoc said:
Good points. By the numbers, assuming a similar percentage of Americans become infected AND that the mortality rate here is similar (highly unlikely, given our resources), we could expect 710 deaths.

For comparison, I believe flu deaths are now over 40,000 for this season.
Click to expand...

Lots of assumptions in this. You're taking china's numbers at face value and using them as a means to extrapolate similar proportions to the US. Another assumption is that the quality of the resources will save us. It is simply a numbers game. There are only so many hospital beds and ventilators to go around. If the health care system gets overwhelmed, the quality of care will diminish greatly.
 
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