These models are sort of busy because I’m showing my work. The aim was to identify the number of possessions a team had on offense and the number of opponent possessions for defense. I’m assuming the reason the numbers are not the same is because of whoever has the ball last. So the idea was to see what percentage of the time when an offense took possession were they able to either score a TD or successfully kick a FG. For defense the idea is for every opponent’s possession what percentage of the times did the defense allow the possession to end in a score, whether a TD or a made FG.
So the way to read this is that 58.82% of the time Alabama’s offense gained a possession they would either score a TD or make a FG. When their opponent gained a possession, the Alabama defense would limit the opponent to a 24.00% rate for scoring either a TD or making a FG.
Last year our 19 year old kids (average) scored on 30.53% of our offensive possessions and our slightly older guys on defense allowed our opponents to score on 38.85% of their offensive possessions. We should see significant improvement in both units this year owing to increased maturity, increased development, and increased experience. jmo.
Time of possession is based on 60 minutes/game and no adjustments were made for overtime games.
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