East Tennessee Weather II

[Vol knight]

Man the weather forum is all doom and gloom. NWS still showing 2 to 3 inches for East Tn valley.

After the kind of winter's we've had thats like hitting the lottery.

The trolls and cliffdivers have invaded. They're literally freaking out over 1 model run. I've learned that it's better to watch model trends over several runs than to trust one run.

 

[bigdaddy]

Wait whut? I’m all for the white stuff and think/hope we see a good amount of it. I was just telling those with -50s to stay safe. If that’s trolling my bad

 

[Orange_Vol1321]

Wait whut? I’m all for the white stuff and think/hope we see a good amount of it. I was just telling those with -50s to stay safe. If that’s trolling my bad

No we're talking about the weather forum(not volnation).

 

[Orange_Vol1321]

The trolls and cliffdivers have invaded. They're literally freaking out over 1 model run. I've learned that it's better to watch model trends over several runs than to trust one run.

The only thing I see different is it taking three hours to turn from rain to snow. Hopefully the cold will be here and have the rain changeover soon after it starts.

 

[bigdaddy]

No we're talking about the weather forum(not volnation).

Ahhh! Carry on. And let it snow

 

[Matt2496]

I'm happy with anything more than a dusting.

 

[rocktopper16]

Areas South of Knoxville North of Atlanta East Of Chattanooga West of North Carolina will have the best chance of see 2 + inches.

 

[headhunter15]

I’d be happy with Morristown just getting a good inch of snow.

 

[DarthVisor]

I'm hoping this one run of the NAM was simply a bad run.

 

[BallinVol]

NWS still says 2-3 inches. This probability chart says 3-6 inches. Who knows ....

 

[Matt2496]

 

[Orange_Vol1321]

NWS still says 2-3 inches. This probability chart says 3-6 inches. Who knows ....

What city was this for?

 

[Matt2496]

I'm hoping this one run of the NAM was simply a bad run.

Yeah, I wouldn't get worried over one bad run.

However, if the 6 o clock run is equally bad and other models start showing something similar, there may be a trend there.

 

[BallinVol]

What city was this for?

Harriman. This was from my weather app built in on my Samsung Note 8, so take with a grain of salt lol. Maybe there's a chance though lol.

 

[Vol knight]

Yeah, I wouldn't get worried over one bad run.

However, if the 6 o clock run is equally bad and other models start showing something similar, there may be a trend there.

I will say that the other short range models like the RAP has been pretty good for the valley.

 

[Matt2496]

Seems like the most moisture has shifted southward towards Mississippi.

 

[Matt2496]

NWS has now adjusted their snowfall totals slightly for the lack of moisture.

 

[Vol knight]

NWS has now adjusted their snowfall totals slightly for the lack of moisture.

I figured the totals would go down greatly in the plateau. I think most on here would still be happy with 1-2. Now just because the amounts went down, doesnt mean that travel conditions won't be as bad. I still highly recommend that you use caution if you have to be on the roads tomorrow morning.

 

[Matt2496]

Here's the old one for comparison.

 

[Matt2496]

I figured the totals would go down greatly in the plateau. I think most on here would still be happy with 1-2. Now just because the amounts went down, doesnt mean that travel conditions won't be as bad. I still highly recommend that you use caution if you have to be on the roads tomorrow morning.

Yes sir.

 

[Vol knight]

According to Morristown in their latest discussion, the 12z NAM that had that bad run was possibly initialized incorrectly. That may be a run that we should be careful about putting stock into.

 

[kiloVOLt]

According to Morristown in their latest discussion, the 12z NAM that had that bad run was possibly initialized incorrectly. That may be a run that we should be careful about putting stock into.

The 18z is worse unfortunately.

 

[Vol knight]

The 18z is worse unfortunately.

Apparently, the NAM isnt even correct with the current weather, as there is more precip on the radar to our Northwest than the NAM is showing.

 

[Vol knight]

18z RGEM:

 

[Orange_Vol1321]

Seems like the most moisture has shifted southward towards Mississippi.

That's still showing a good .4 in the valley. The problem is how much of that falls as rain before it changes.