just remember those numbers do include offers made by the previous staff, so it's an inflated #. to what degree i don't know.
as for throwing ish against the wall, i think there are points in every recruiting cycle, for some programs, that you kinda find yourself doing some of that depending on how ceratin things fall for your class.
that said, i think if you were paying attention in the spring and summer, the way this staff evaluates talent and brings kids in for camps, there's a pretty concerted effort put in to evaluations. especially for mid or lower tier guys; off the radar guys.
one example for this class is Roman Harrison. he camped, they offered. i'm not even sure he was even rated when they offered him? can't remember. now, having gone thru his senior year, and getting some exposure, he's a 4* guy that folks are raving over, and saying we're lucky to have him. projecting him as a DE at this point.
anyway, not going to tell you that everything they do is going to turn to gold.
but i don't think you should assume that there's not purpose behind an offer and accepting a committment by this staff.
the top guys they go after, EVERYONE is going after, so you have to compete for those kids and you're just not gonna land them all. so those camps and evaluations are huge for having a bench for your class.
the two places we look to be struggling is LB and DL. everywhere else we've done very well. and we're gonna have to wait and see if we can address the front 7 as we go. but i'll say this, the DL committs we have (some may be asked to look around too) camped and were offered, so there's some history and experience with most of those kids. so it's not like they don't know what they're getting, even if we don't have a clue about johnny 3* that on one will get exciteda about.