Recruiting Ranking and Results in 3-4 Years

#1

pualsline

poakley@safeoak.com
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#1
First Column is Recruiting Rank top is the #1 class down to 15

Second is Jr Years for those Recruits final ranking

Third is Sr. year for Recruits final ranking

View attachment RecruitingMS.xls

I found it interesting that Sr classes were always in the top 15 in recruiting 4 years prior, but twice the Jr. classes did not win the National Title.
 
Last edited:
#5
#5
The only thing that sticks out to me is that the top ranked class leads to a top 3 finish 4 out of 6 times their senior year. Everyone else out performs or under performs their rank pretty randomly.
 
#8
#8
I did something similar, and posted it in a thread in the recruiting forum.

CFG_Fig1a.jpg


All the other stuff I did is here.
 
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#9
#9
Ok, just re-read what you did, and I'm not entirely sure what you're trying to do.

Are you trying to say that recruiting momentum has a tendency to be cyclical?
 
#11
#11
Ok, just re-read what you did, and I'm not entirely sure what you're trying to do.

Are you trying to say that recruiting momentum has a tendency to be cyclical?

I was just showing accuracy of the recruiting rankings (rivals)
 
#13
#13
Do you guys think that recruiting classes are better reflected 3 or 4 years after recruiting?
 
#15
#15
I've never been what you would call a smart man. But that chart (not the dotted one) is horrible. It makes baby leon cry.
 
#17
#17
Do you guys think that recruiting classes are better reflected 3 or 4 years after recruiting?

Absolutely. That's what I tried to get at by aggregating the past four classes to see how well they predicted win/losses this year.

I would say there's a weak trend, but I wouldn't put money on it in Vegas.

At some point I want to actually get the various numbers for each service and run them against win/loss ratio. I have that for Scout. I think I can get that for Rivals. Maybe not enough data for ESPN or 24/7 (How long have they been around? Not since 2008 to combine all four years).

In theory, the best service should have the best correlation.

On the other hand you could do it on a player by player basis, but you'd have to winnow your sample down or it would take FOREVER to do.
 
#21
#21
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#24
#24
For those complaining about the format what would you rather the layout be?

Since you're trying to show the relationship between two ordinal variables, I'd try a scatterplot and give the NR value some kind of number so they're not omitted.

Keep crunchin' the numbers, dude. Interesting stuff...
 
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#25
#25
Is this going to be on the test?

Can we use notes?

I was under the impression there would be no math.
 

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