I'm pretty sure their 4-year avg recruiting ranking is very close to us. Plus their Juniors and seniors actually play.
Pretty close. Used 5-year rather than 4-year recruiting rankings because all five of those classes are represented on the field this coming fall. Tennessee's five classes were #5, #5, #29, #21, #13 = average ranking 14.6. Oklahoma's five classes were #17, #13, #17, #11, #11 = average ranking 13.8. Statistically, the talent is about equal. Our best talent is in our youth, and is the best talent on the field (two #5 classes trump all). On the other hand, their best talent is experienced, redshirt juniors and seniors.
So pretty much even overall. Good news for us is, we play them in Neyland this year, and home field is worth up to a touchdown advantage.
The big variable left is, which coaching crew calls a better game, adjusts better as the game progresses, etc. We'll get to see CBJ shine with his on-field abilities in this game. If the two coaching staffs are equally adept in game prep and game calling/adjustments, we'll win by about a touchdown. If CBJ calls/leads a better game than Stoops, we'll win by more.
p.s. The one place I do disagree with you -- our juniors (Sutton, Vereen, Reeves-Maybin, Dobbs, North, Josh Smith, Lewis, O'Brien, Bynum, Blair, Croom) and seniors (McNeil, Weatherd, Howard, Randolph, Maggitt, Williams, Giampapa, Crowder, Jackson, Kerbyson, Pearson)
do play, too. A #13 or #21 ranking doesn't mean there's
no talent in the class ... just not as much as a #5 class. We got plenty of excellent play-makers among our junior and senior classes. Most all those guys listed above will be in the 2-deep, and many or most will start vs. Oklahoma.