Honestly the only game I see us as being decisive underdogs is bammer, and we may be good enough to have a shot there too. If we can split our tossup games a 9-3 or even 10-2 season isn't out of the question.
Edit: that said an 8-4 (maybe 7-5 with bad luck) season would still constitute progress and would be no reason to piss and moan. I am not in the "10 wins or Farr Butch" crowd.