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Old 12-26-2012, 03:31 PM   #1 (permalink)
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Maymonless season predictions...

We did a seasons prediction thread back a couple months, but I'm sure everyone was counting on Maymon returning at some point.

So...I thought now that appears we will be Maymonless for the remainder of the season, I was curious to everyone's predictions the rest of the way. I think it'll be interesting as many seemed very high on the team pre season, but now some have this as a 15 team win. The predictions should be all over the map which makes this even more fun IMO...here's the remaining schedule with my prediction.

CURRET RECORD 7-3

Vs. Xavier W
Vs. Memphis L
Vs. Ole Miss W
@Alabama W
@Kentucky L
Vs. Mississippi State W
@ Ole Miss L
Vs. Bama W
Vs. Vandy W
@Arkansas L
Vs. Georgia W
@South Carolina W
@Vandy W
Vs. Kentucky W
Vs. LSU W
@Texas A&M L
Vs. Florida L
@Georgia W
@Auburn W
Vs. Missouri L

Final Record 20-10(12-6)
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Old 12-26-2012, 03:36 PM   #2 (permalink)
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Just depends on which games Trae shows up for....based on the track record, he shows up around 60-70% of the time.

I think it is optimisitic to think we can win 20 without Jeronne. Maybe 16 - 17 range
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Old 12-26-2012, 03:40 PM   #3 (permalink)
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Originally Posted by Jax_Vol View Post
Just depends on which games Trae shows up for....based on the track record, he shows up around 60-70% of the time.

I think it is optimisitic to think we can win 20 without Jerome. Maybe 16 - 17 range
Maybe we use different math, but there's 20 remaining games...60% would be 12 wins and 70% would be 14 wins. So going by your formula you're actually saying 19-21 wins total (since we already have 7)?
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Old 12-26-2012, 03:43 PM   #4 (permalink)
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Originally Posted by bleedingTNorange View Post

Vs. Xavier W
Vs. Memphis W
Vs. Ole Miss W
@Alabama L
@Kentucky L
Vs. Mississippi State W
@ Ole Miss L
Vs. Bama W
Vs. Vandy W
@Arkansas W
Vs. Georgia W
@South Carolina W
@Vandy L
Vs. Kentucky L
Vs. LSU W
@Texas A&M W
Vs. Florida W
@Georgia W
@Auburn W
Vs. Missouri L

I've got 14-6 the rest of the way.

21-9 (12-6)

I can see us dropping one @TA&M, @Vandy, and @UGA though.

BOLD PREDICTION: We make it to the SECT finals and participate in a 7-point-or-less contest.

I think we'll be on the bubble, but from the inside looking out.
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Old 12-26-2012, 03:44 PM   #5 (permalink)
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Based on what I have seen so far both in home and away games this year, I expect that track record to keep up for the most part for the remainder of the season:

Vs. Xavier W
Vs. Memphis W
Vs. Ole Miss W
@Alabama L
@Kentucky L
Vs. Mississippi State W
@ Ole Miss L
Vs. Bama W
Vs. Vandy W
@Arkansas W
Vs. Georgia W
@South Carolina W
@Vandy L
Vs. Kentucky W
Vs. LSU W
@Texas A&M L
Vs. Florida L
@Georgia W
@Auburn W
Vs. Missouri L

Final Record 20-10(11-7)

Will need one or two SEC Tourney wins to feel good going into selection Sunday.
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Old 12-26-2012, 03:46 PM   #6 (permalink)
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I've got 14-6 the rest of the way.

21-6 (12-6)

I can see us dropping one @TA&M, @Vandy, and @UGA though.

BOLD PREDICTION: We make it to the SECT finals and participate in a 7-point-or-less contest.

I think we'll be on the bubble, but from the inside looking out.
I went really conservative IMO haha

I think we can beat Memphis, UK, Florida, Arkansas etc. but I also know its unlikely we'll go undefeated the rest of the way haha.

I really wanted to go with 21 wins with another win over either Memphis or Kentucky. The SEC is so bad there's minimum 9-10 wins there IMO, which makes the next 2 games huge. If we win these next 2 and are 9-3 heading into conference, 21-22 wins is very realistic.
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Old 12-26-2012, 03:49 PM   #7 (permalink)
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For those curious, RPI forecast has our RPI projected at 48 if we finish 20-10 and 38 of we finish 21-9. Both of those are very good numbers and would probably have us safely in the tourney.
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Old 12-26-2012, 03:53 PM   #8 (permalink)
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Maybe we use different math, but there's 20 remaining games...60% would be 12 wins and 70% would be 14 wins. So going by your formula you're actually saying 19-21 wins total (since we already have 7)?
Sorry, I didn't mean we win all the games that Trae shows up for. Some of those, we still lose...like Kentucky. Even if Trae plays lights out, we lose to Kentucky without Jeronne.
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Old 12-26-2012, 03:57 PM   #9 (permalink)
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Vs. Xavier L
Vs. Memphis L
Vs. Ole Miss W
@Alabama W
@Kentucky L
Vs. Mississippi State L
@ Ole Miss L
Vs. Bama W
Vs. Vandy W
@Arkansas L
Vs. Georgia W
@South Carolina L
@Vandy W
Vs. Kentucky L
Vs. LSU W
@Texas A&M L
Vs. Florida W
@Georgia L
@Auburn W
Vs. Missouri L

Something more like this I fear 16-14ish
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Old 12-26-2012, 04:01 PM   #10 (permalink)
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^ That would be BAD bad. I hope it doesn't go that way.
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Old 12-26-2012, 04:06 PM   #11 (permalink)
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^ That would be BAD bad. I hope it doesn't go that way.
Me too!

I guess on the flipside...we might win a game or two when Trae is having a bad night. But not often. He can play...but sure isn't consistent.
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Old 12-26-2012, 04:11 PM   #12 (permalink)
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Vs. Xavier L
Vs. Memphis L
Vs. Ole Miss W
@Alabama W
@Kentucky L
Vs. Mississippi State L
@ Ole Miss L
Vs. Bama W
Vs. Vandy W
@Arkansas L
Vs. Georgia W
@South Carolina L
@Vandy W
Vs. Kentucky L
Vs. LSU W
@Texas A&M L
Vs. Florida W
@Georgia L
@Auburn W
Vs. Missouri L

Something more like this I fear 16-14ish
You make some interesting predictions. MSU is awful and then you have us beating Florida. There are about 6 games that should be automatic wins- Georgia (x2), South Carolina, Auburn, MSU, and Vandy at home.
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Old 12-26-2012, 04:14 PM   #13 (permalink)
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I feel this thread is really optimistic, so ill just leave it at that.. Lol
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Old 12-26-2012, 04:18 PM   #14 (permalink)
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I feel this thread is really optimistic, so ill just leave it at that.. Lol
Jax said 16-14, you can't be thinking something much worse than that can you?
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Old 12-26-2012, 04:34 PM   #15 (permalink)
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Originally Posted by bleedingTNorange View Post
We did a seasons prediction thread back a couple months, but I'm sure everyone was counting on Maymon returning at some point.

So...I thought now that appears we will be Maymonless for the remainder of the season, I was curious to everyone's predictions the rest of the way. I think it'll be interesting as many seemed very high on the team pre season, but now some have this as a 15 team win. The predictions should be all over the map which makes this even more fun IMO...here's the remaining schedule with my prediction.

CURRET RECORD 7-3

Vs. Xavier W
Vs. Memphis L
Vs. Ole Miss W
@Alabama W
@Kentucky L
Vs. Mississippi State W
@ Ole Miss L
Vs. Bama W
Vs. Vandy W
@Arkansas L
Vs. Georgia W
@South Carolina W
@Vandy W
Vs. Kentucky W
Vs. LSU W
@Texas A&M L
Vs. Florida L
@Georgia W
@Auburn W
Vs. Missouri L

Final Record 20-10(12-6)
I think we beat memphis, but not sure we beat Bama twice. I can also see us losing one other, that you can flip coin on. I can't see us winning that many with our offense that can come and go at anytime!!
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