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12-26-2012, 02:31 PM
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#1 (permalink)
| | Senior Member Join Date: Jan 2012
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| Maymonless season predictions... We did a seasons prediction thread back a couple months, but I'm sure everyone was counting on Maymon returning at some point.
So...I thought now that appears we will be Maymonless for the remainder of the season, I was curious to everyone's predictions the rest of the way. I think it'll be interesting as many seemed very high on the team pre season, but now some have this as a 15 team win. The predictions should be all over the map which makes this even more fun IMO...here's the remaining schedule with my prediction.
CURRET RECORD 7-3
Vs. Xavier W
Vs. Memphis L
Vs. Ole Miss W
@Alabama W
@Kentucky L
Vs. Mississippi State W
@ Ole Miss L
Vs. Bama W
Vs. Vandy W
@Arkansas L
Vs. Georgia W
@South Carolina W
@Vandy W
Vs. Kentucky W
Vs. LSU W
@Texas A&M L
Vs. Florida L
@Georgia W
@Auburn W
Vs. Missouri L
Final Record 20-10(12-6) |
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12-26-2012, 02:36 PM
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#2 (permalink)
| | Senior Member Join Date: Nov 2011
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Likes: 7,213
| Just depends on which games Trae shows up for....based on the track record, he shows up around 60-70% of the time.
I think it is optimisitic to think we can win 20 without Jeronne. Maybe 16 - 17 range |
| VN Likes: 1 |
12-26-2012, 02:40 PM
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#3 (permalink)
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Posts: 21,357
Likes: 2,971
| Quote:
Originally Posted by Jax_Vol Just depends on which games Trae shows up for....based on the track record, he shows up around 60-70% of the time.
I think it is optimisitic to think we can win 20 without Jerome. Maybe 16 - 17 range | Maybe we use different math, but there's 20 remaining games...60% would be 12 wins and 70% would be 14 wins. So going by your formula you're actually saying 19-21 wins total (since we already have 7)? |
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12-26-2012, 02:43 PM
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#4 (permalink)
| | facebook.com/Cerulia Join Date: Jul 2010 Location: Knoxville, TN
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| Quote:
Originally Posted by bleedingTNorange
Vs. Xavier W
Vs. Memphis W
Vs. Ole Miss W
@Alabama L
@Kentucky L
Vs. Mississippi State W
@ Ole Miss L
Vs. Bama W
Vs. Vandy W
@Arkansas W
Vs. Georgia W
@South Carolina W
@Vandy L
Vs. Kentucky L
Vs. LSU W
@Texas A&M W
Vs. Florida W
@Georgia W
@Auburn W
Vs. Missouri L
| I've got 14-6 the rest of the way.
21-9 (12-6)
I can see us dropping one @TA&M, @Vandy, and @UGA though.
BOLD PREDICTION: We make it to the SECT finals and participate in a 7-point-or-less contest.
I think we'll be on the bubble, but from the inside looking out. |
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12-26-2012, 02:44 PM
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#5 (permalink)
| | Member Join Date: May 2009
Posts: 84
Likes: 7
| Based on what I have seen so far both in home and away games this year, I expect that track record to keep up for the most part for the remainder of the season:
Vs. Xavier W
Vs. Memphis W
Vs. Ole Miss W
@Alabama L
@Kentucky L
Vs. Mississippi State W
@ Ole Miss L
Vs. Bama W
Vs. Vandy W
@Arkansas W
Vs. Georgia W
@South Carolina W
@Vandy L
Vs. Kentucky W
Vs. LSU W
@Texas A&M L
Vs. Florida L
@Georgia W
@Auburn W
Vs. Missouri L
Final Record 20-10(11-7)
Will need one or two SEC Tourney wins to feel good going into selection Sunday. |
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12-26-2012, 02:46 PM
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#6 (permalink)
| | Senior Member Join Date: Jan 2012
Posts: 21,357
Likes: 2,971
| Quote:
Originally Posted by Chris4Vols22 I've got 14-6 the rest of the way.
21-6 (12-6)
I can see us dropping one @TA&M, @Vandy, and @UGA though.
BOLD PREDICTION: We make it to the SECT finals and participate in a 7-point-or-less contest.
I think we'll be on the bubble, but from the inside looking out. | I went really conservative IMO haha
I think we can beat Memphis, UK, Florida, Arkansas etc. but I also know its unlikely we'll go undefeated the rest of the way haha.
I really wanted to go with 21 wins with another win over either Memphis or Kentucky. The SEC is so bad there's minimum 9-10 wins there IMO, which makes the next 2 games huge. If we win these next 2 and are 9-3 heading into conference, 21-22 wins is very realistic. |
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12-26-2012, 02:49 PM
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#7 (permalink)
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Likes: 2,971
| For those curious, RPI forecast has our RPI projected at 48 if we finish 20-10 and 38 of we finish 21-9. Both of those are very good numbers and would probably have us safely in the tourney. |
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12-26-2012, 02:53 PM
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#8 (permalink)
| | Senior Member Join Date: Nov 2011
Posts: 17,499
Likes: 7,213
| Quote:
Originally Posted by bleedingTNorange Maybe we use different math, but there's 20 remaining games...60% would be 12 wins and 70% would be 14 wins. So going by your formula you're actually saying 19-21 wins total (since we already have 7)? | Sorry, I didn't mean we win all the games that Trae shows up for. Some of those, we still lose...like Kentucky. Even if Trae plays lights out, we lose to Kentucky without Jeronne. |
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12-26-2012, 02:57 PM
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#9 (permalink)
| | Senior Member Join Date: Nov 2011
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Likes: 7,213
| Vs. Xavier L
Vs. Memphis L
Vs. Ole Miss W
@Alabama W
@Kentucky L
Vs. Mississippi State L
@ Ole Miss L
Vs. Bama W
Vs. Vandy W
@Arkansas L
Vs. Georgia W
@South Carolina L
@Vandy W
Vs. Kentucky L
Vs. LSU W
@Texas A&M L
Vs. Florida W
@Georgia L
@Auburn W
Vs. Missouri L
Something more like this I fear 16-14ish |
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12-26-2012, 03:01 PM
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#10 (permalink)
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Likes: 2,971
| ^ That would be BAD bad. I hope it doesn't go that way. |
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12-26-2012, 03:06 PM
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#11 (permalink)
| | Senior Member Join Date: Nov 2011
Posts: 17,499
Likes: 7,213
| Quote:
Originally Posted by bleedingTNorange ^ That would be BAD bad. I hope it doesn't go that way. | Me too!
I guess on the flipside...we might win a game or two when Trae is having a bad night. But not often. He can play...but sure isn't consistent. |
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12-26-2012, 03:11 PM
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#12 (permalink)
| | Senior Member Join Date: Jan 2012
Posts: 1,531
Likes: 299
| Quote:
Originally Posted by Jax_Vol Vs. Xavier L
Vs. Memphis L
Vs. Ole Miss W
@Alabama W
@Kentucky L
Vs. Mississippi State L
@ Ole Miss L
Vs. Bama W
Vs. Vandy W
@Arkansas L
Vs. Georgia W
@South Carolina L
@Vandy W
Vs. Kentucky L
Vs. LSU W
@Texas A&M L
Vs. Florida W
@Georgia L
@Auburn W
Vs. Missouri L
Something more like this I fear 16-14ish | You make some interesting predictions. MSU is awful and then you have us beating Florida. There are about 6 games that should be automatic wins- Georgia (x2), South Carolina, Auburn, MSU, and Vandy at home. |
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12-26-2012, 03:14 PM
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#13 (permalink)
| | Senior Member Join Date: Aug 2010 Location: Clinton/Knoxville, TN
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Likes: 3,997
| I feel this thread is really optimistic, so ill just leave it at that.. Lol |
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12-26-2012, 03:18 PM
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#14 (permalink)
| | Senior Member Join Date: Jan 2012
Posts: 21,357
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| Quote:
Originally Posted by ACvol3 I feel this thread is really optimistic, so ill just leave it at that.. Lol | Jax said 16-14, you can't be thinking something much worse than that can you? |
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12-26-2012, 03:34 PM
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#15 (permalink)
| | Senior Member Join Date: Sep 2009
Posts: 428
Likes: 572
| Quote:
Originally Posted by bleedingTNorange We did a seasons prediction thread back a couple months, but I'm sure everyone was counting on Maymon returning at some point.
So...I thought now that appears we will be Maymonless for the remainder of the season, I was curious to everyone's predictions the rest of the way. I think it'll be interesting as many seemed very high on the team pre season, but now some have this as a 15 team win. The predictions should be all over the map which makes this even more fun IMO...here's the remaining schedule with my prediction.
CURRET RECORD 7-3
Vs. Xavier W
Vs. Memphis L
Vs. Ole Miss W
@Alabama W
@Kentucky L
Vs. Mississippi State W
@ Ole Miss L
Vs. Bama W
Vs. Vandy W
@Arkansas L
Vs. Georgia W
@South Carolina W
@Vandy W
Vs. Kentucky W
Vs. LSU W
@Texas A&M L
Vs. Florida L
@Georgia W
@Auburn W
Vs. Missouri L
Final Record 20-10(12-6) | I think we beat memphis, but not sure we beat Bama twice. I can also see us losing one other, that you can flip coin on. I can't see us winning that many with our offense that can come and go at anytime!! |
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