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02-21-2012, 03:37 PM
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#16 (permalink)
| | Tennesseen,Tennebelieven Join Date: Jul 2011
Posts: 1,683
Likes: 590
| Quote:
Originally Posted by golfballs03 If my calculations are right, that's about a 0.001% | I think it's more like less than a 5% chance, but I see things with orange colored glasses. |
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02-21-2012, 03:41 PM
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#17 (permalink)
| | Senior Member Join Date: Feb 2012
Posts: 1,266
Likes: 286
| No way we should be a 7 seed IMO |
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02-21-2012, 03:43 PM
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#18 (permalink)
| | Senior Member Join Date: Jun 2010 Location: bristol
Posts: 3,139
Likes: 324
| Quote:
Originally Posted by golfballs03 Who is the #1? | i think the big east is, JMO |
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02-21-2012, 04:13 PM
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#19 (permalink)
| | Senior Member Join Date: Jan 2012
Posts: 843
Likes: 48
| Quote:
Originally Posted by sdowell i think the big east is, JMO | B1G
Big XII
SEC
Big East
MWC
ACC
A-10
Pac-12 |
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02-21-2012, 04:19 PM
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#20 (permalink)
| | Senior Member Join Date: Oct 2011
Posts: 1,846
Likes: 462
| One of the things that helps UT is the fact that the Pac-12 is horrible and likely to get only 1 or 2 teams in the big dance whereas they ususally get 4 or 5 in the tourney.
This is a big IF: win the rest of our regular season games and then win at least one tournament game. If we win the remaining reg season games, we need to put a pretty decent beatdown on Vandy |
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02-21-2012, 04:40 PM
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#21 (permalink)
| | Senior Member Join Date: Jun 2010 Location: bristol
Posts: 3,139
Likes: 324
| Quote:
Originally Posted by 2ironVol One of the things that helps UT is the fact that the Pac-12 is horrible and likely to get only 1 or 2 teams in the big dance whereas they ususally get 4 or 5 in the tourney.
This is a big IF: win the rest of our regular season games and then win at least one tournament game. If we win the remaining reg season games, we need to put a pretty decent beatdown on Vandy | that's only 19 wins with 14 losses. that won't get it. 20 wins is the only way we get in, and that is with a lot of help. |
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02-21-2012, 05:02 PM
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#22 (permalink)
| | Senior Member Join Date: Jan 2012
Posts: 21,385
Likes: 2,976
| Quote:
Originally Posted by sdowell that's only 19 wins with 14 losses. that won't get it. 20 wins is the only way we get in, and that is with a lot of help. | i think 19 would get us in if we were a bye team in the conference tournament, and made it to the final day. thatd put us at 19-14 and a rpi around 55. thats just my 2 cents though.
i think we would atleast be getting some bubble talk at that point, and may be dependant on what other teams do. |
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02-21-2012, 05:03 PM
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#23 (permalink)
| | This We'll Defend Join Date: Mar 2010 Location: Columbia, SC
Posts: 45,965
Likes: 4,718
| Quote:
Originally Posted by GatorsGators B1G
Big XII
SEC
Big East
MWC
ACC
A-10
Pac-12 | Putting the SEC ahead of the Big East and ACC is a joke
Last edited by Yankee_Vol; 02-21-2012 at 05:15 PM..
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02-21-2012, 05:07 PM
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#24 (permalink)
| | Senior Member Join Date: Jan 2012
Posts: 843
Likes: 48
| Quote:
Originally Posted by Yankee_Vol Putting the SEC ahead of te Big East and ACC is a joke | No, it's not. The Big East is a paper tiger with three good teams and a bunch of mediocre ones. One of those three good teams (Marquette) got thrashed by Vanderbilt at home and lost to LSU. The Big East will get the most teams into the tournament, like usual, but don't forget that's because it has the most teams.
The ACC is weak. UNC and Duke are still pretty good, but neither of them are any where near Kentucky. Florida State is pretty good, but they're way more erratic than either Florida or Vanderbilt. Virginia is a similar team to Alabama in that they don't score too well but they play tight defense. But, where the SEC is better than the ACC is at the bottom... This will put it in perspective: South Carolina beat Clemson at Clemson. |
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02-21-2012, 05:09 PM
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#25 (permalink)
| | Senior Member | Quote:
Originally Posted by Rudy123 (1) Beat Austin Peay (2) Beat Memphis in Hawaii (3) Beat Mississippi State (4) Beat UGA in Athens (5) beat Ky by 2 and not lose by 2, and we punch our own ticket.
All of the above mentioned loses, were by 3 points or less. Very close margin between us being in the NCAA tourney and out of it.
It is often said that football is a game of inches, well then basketball is a game of........ | We didn't even need to do all of that. Beat 2/3 out of Austin Peay St., College of Charleston, and Oakland, and our ticket wouldn't be punched yet, but we'd be getting close. |
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02-21-2012, 05:10 PM
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#26 (permalink)
| | Senior Member Join Date: Jan 2012
Posts: 21,385
Likes: 2,976
| heres the thing, for us to have the best shot at making the dance we need the following to happen:
-we have to win out
-we need UK to win out
-we need miss st to win out except tonight vs uk
-we need bama to lose as much as possible
-we need vandy to lose to either uk or florida
if all this happens if my calculations are correct, we would finish 3rd with vandy 4th and miss st, and most likely LSU 6th. bama is the 5th team getting in from the sec, i still think because of how weak the other conferences are this year that the sec MAY get 6 but to play it safe we'll go off them only getting 5.
at this point UK, Florida, Vandy and Miss St are all pretty safely in the tournament(miss st barring a flace plant), that currently leaves bama, ole miss and lsu fighting for that 5th spot. we need all 3 of those teams to really face plant and lose a few going forward. |
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02-21-2012, 05:12 PM
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#27 (permalink)
| | Senior Member Join Date: Jan 2012
Posts: 21,385
Likes: 2,976
| Quote:
Originally Posted by Yankee_Vol Putting the SEC ahead of te Big East and ACC is a joke | according to the rpi for each conference, they rate the conferences like this:
TOP 15
big10
big east
big 12
sec
mountain west
acc
a10
mvc
c-usa
pac 12
wcc
wac
ivy
horizon
colonial |
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02-21-2012, 05:14 PM
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#28 (permalink)
| | Senior Member Join Date: Jan 2012
Posts: 21,385
Likes: 2,976
| Quote:
Originally Posted by GatorsGators No, it's not. The Big East is a paper tiger with three good teams and a bunch of mediocre ones. One of those three good teams (Marquette) got thrashed by Vanderbilt at home and lost to LSU. The Big East will get the most teams into the tournament, like usual, but don't forget that's because it has the most teams.
The ACC is weak. UNC and Duke are still pretty good, but neither of them are any where near Kentucky. Florida State is pretty good, but they're way more erratic than either Florida or Vanderbilt. Virginia is a similar team to Alabama in that they don't score too well but they play tight defense. But, where the SEC is better than the ACC is at the bottom... This will put it in perspective: South Carolina beat Clemson at Clemson. | UNC would like to debate that with their 1 point loss at rupp.  |
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02-21-2012, 05:15 PM
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#29 (permalink)
| | Senior Member Join Date: Jan 2012
Posts: 843
Likes: 48
| And that's with Connecticut at 24th in the RPI and Seton Hall at 36th... Neither are anywhere close to being that good right now. Again, the Big East is a paper tiger. |
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02-21-2012, 05:16 PM
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#30 (permalink)
| | Senior Member Join Date: Jan 2012
Posts: 843
Likes: 48
| Quote:
Originally Posted by bleedingTNorange UNC would like to debate that with their 1 point loss at rupp.  | How about that 33 point loss to Florida State? |
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