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Old 02-14-2012, 12:58 PM   #1 (permalink)
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Mr. SEC on NCAA chances

Says that we have no chance outside of winning the SEC Tourney
Homepage | MrSEC

Not saying the word of an online article is final, obviously many people (including Counzo) disagree, but I think it is important to realize that there is a chance we close well, 5-1 or 6-0, and are still a bubble team at best.

Discuss...

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Old 02-14-2012, 01:08 PM   #2 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by sittinginclass View Post
Says that we have no chance outside of winning the SEC Tourney
Homepage | MrSEC

Not saying the word of an online article is final, obviously many people (including Counzo) disagree, but I think it is important to realize that there is a chance we close well, 5-1 or 6-0, and are still a bubble team at best.

Discuss...
If we go 5-1 win 2 in sec t OR go 6-0 win 2 in sec t......WE ARE IN!

I see no way the committee hold us with those scenarios. I think a lot of weight will be put on post stokes and last month or so and will earn us a bid.

Only way I see that changing is if a whole bunch of teams that wouldn't make it win their conference tournaments and take away some of the at large bids.
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Old 02-14-2012, 01:09 PM   #3 (permalink)
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I don't think it's quite a long shot. To be honest, I didn't expect to make the tournament coming into the year. We've got great wins but almost equally terrible losses, so I can see justification either way.
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Old 02-14-2012, 01:10 PM   #4 (permalink)
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I disagree. I do understand the 3 bad losses we have. I do understand that bama got left out at 12 and 4 last year. However...if we win out and move to 11 and 5 in conference i say we are in and here are the reseasons:

1. sos
2. (if we win out) 6 quality wins
3. 9 and 1 in last 10
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Old 02-14-2012, 01:11 PM   #5 (permalink)
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We need to beat Vandy; 5-1 and a couple of wins in the tourney would do it IMO.
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Old 02-14-2012, 01:11 PM   #6 (permalink)
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There are two at large scenarios that would work:

-6-0, 2-1 in SEC Tourney (finishing 20-13 with an RPI in the low to mid 40s)
-5-1, 2-1 in SEC Tourney (finishing 19-14 with an RPI in the high 40s to low 50s)

Outside of that, he's right.
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Old 02-14-2012, 01:12 PM   #7 (permalink)
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I don't think it's quite a long shot. To be honest, I didn't expect to make the tournament coming into the year. We've got great wins but almost equally terrible losses, so I can see justification either way.
Those bad losses were early in the season.
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Old 02-14-2012, 01:14 PM   #8 (permalink)
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That Austin Peay loss hurts real bad.
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Old 02-14-2012, 01:20 PM   #9 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by govols120 View Post
There are two at large scenarios that would work:

-6-0, 2-1 in SEC Tourney (finishing 20-13 with an RPI in the low to mid 40s)
-5-1, 2-1 in SEC Tourney (finishing 19-14 with an RPI in the high 40s to low 50s)

Outside of that, he's right.
Exactly right!
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Old 02-14-2012, 01:21 PM   #10 (permalink)
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20 wins should do it this year. Would mean TN would enter the tourney as one of the hottest teams in the NCAA--something the committee would take into account. A 20-13 team who wins 8 out of the last 10 looks a lot better than a 20-13 who loses 8 out of the last 10. The final weeks make a difference to them.
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Old 02-14-2012, 01:26 PM   #11 (permalink)
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Why don't we just worry about the next game, everything else will work itself out down the road.
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Old 02-14-2012, 01:27 PM   #12 (permalink)
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I won't get my hopes up. I'm looking forward to the next game, and that game only. I'll support my Vols whether they're in the NIT or the NCAA.
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Old 02-14-2012, 01:27 PM   #13 (permalink)
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MrSec gives no weight to 'last 10 games'. The Selection Committee does.

The USC trojans got an at-large bid last year at 19-15, 4th place in the Pac10...with an rpi of 67.
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Old 02-14-2012, 01:29 PM   #14 (permalink)
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I believe mr. sec is a bit "bi-assed"
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Old 02-14-2012, 01:30 PM   #15 (permalink)
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I really do think that we can win the rest of our games and then ride the momentum wave into the NCAA tourament as an underdog
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