Imagine that Duke or North Carolina were playing somebody like Texas in the men's final. Even if their best player were gimpy, they'd still be favored too.
The better question: where in the world are you finding point spreads on women's basketball games? Wow.
UT will likely turn this into a (somewhat tedious) defensive affair that plays to the Vols advantage. That's our MO--how we won both final four games last year.