Iowa caucus predictions

#3
#3
Looks about right though I'm not sure that the missing 9% on the D side is accurate - hard to imagine O'Malley getting that.

Polls naturally have undecideds. Results clearly won't
 
#7
#7
I think it is almost impossible to predict as a large part of it obviously depends on turn out, as well as the Democratic caucus process. I could see Bernie winning as you've indicated, but I could also see Hillary winning by a much larger percentage than Bernie. As the Dem caucusing process is open, it might be interesting as to how many "undecided's or O'Malley supporters will want to be seen walking into the Bernie "socialist" camp. My gut tells me that the Hillary supporters will be able to pull more people to their camp than Bernie's.

On the GOP side your numbers line up with most of the recent polls, but again... it all depends on the turnout.
 
#8
#8
Sanders wins Iowa


Rubio wins Iowa

Both have the momentum now especially Rubio
 
#11
#11
Grand Vol said:
Pretty bold prediction there.
Click to expand...

Gramps is BOLD.

:)

I predict Rubio because he is trending upward fast in every poll I have seen. Momentum may put him over the top or to a very strong 2nd place finish.

Clinton / Sanders is a tossup from what I see, just hoping Bernie wins
 
#12
#12
Gramps said:
Gramps is BOLD.

:)

I predict Rubio because he is trending upward fast in every poll I have seen. Momentum may put him over the top or to a very strong 2nd place finish.

Clinton / Sanders is a tossup from what I see, just hoping Bernie wins
Click to expand...

I'm hoping Bernie wins by default. Mainly because the leading candidate is under indictment after the FBI take her into custody.
 
  • Like
Reactions: 2 people
#16
#16
Grand Vol said:
I'm hoping Bernie wins by default. Mainly because the leading candidate is under indictment after the FBI take her into custody.
Click to expand...

I'm rooting for Hillary just to see the meltdown on the Internet and social media.

I haven't heard a lot of people talking about this, but the way the Democratic caucus is set up is designed for the establishment candidate to win even if Bernie takes the popular vote. He could grab most of the delegates in Des Moines and college towns, but Clinton will probably take most of the rural areas and still "win" Iowa. The Sanders campaign knows this and is trying to shuttle kids back to their hometowns so they can possibly tip some of those in favor, but I just don't think the organization and willpower is there for that to be enough.
 
#17
#17
Republican officials predicted there would a record turnout on their side, fueled in part by Trump’s appeal to voters who have not traditionally caucused. Jeff Kaufmann, who chairs the Iowa Republican Party, said his office has been receiving five to six times as many calls compared to past years

“The phone calls at the Republican Party of Iowa headquarters are absolutely unprecedented. I mean, we’re looking at 100 an hour, literally,” he said. “Now, obviously, not all of that is tied to Donald Trump. There’s also a lot of these calls that are going to a variety of candidates. But I think that’s a sign of the enthusiasm.”
Click to expand...

https://www.washingtonpost.com/poli...4388ae-c88a-11e5-a7b2-5a2f824b02c9_story.html
 
#22
#22
carlos86 said:
Best outcome in Iowa.

Rubio
Cruz
Trump
Click to expand...

Open Borders Rubio ain't winning Iowa. He will finish third. Some say there is "momentum" for Rubio, but in Iowa Rubio faces a 4th and 31. He will not make a first down and will be forced to punt.

Gang Of Eight boy will remain in the race for a long time, but as the losses continue to mount, it will become evident to everyone that the nomination is a battle between Cruz and Trump.
 
  • Like
Reactions: 2 people
#23
#23
Franklin Pierce said:
Open Borders Rubio ain't winning Iowa. He will finish third. Some say there is "momentum" for Rubio, but in Iowa Rubio faces a 4th and 31. He will not make a first down and will be forced to punt.

Gang Of Eight boy will remain in the race for a long time, but as the losses continue to mount, it will become evident to everyone that the nomination is a battle between Cruz and Trump.
Click to expand...

Rubio is like one of Spurrier's QB back in the mid 90's playing a Chavis D. 4th and 31 is a cakewalk against that ole mustang.
 
#25
#25
Gramps said:
Rubio is like one of Spurrier's QB back in the mid 90's playing a Chavis D. 4th and 31 is a cakewalk against that ole mustang.
Click to expand...

Or someone is just overestimating their own candidate by lashing out at others.
 
  • Like
Reactions: 1 person
New posts
You must log in or register to reply here.

VN Store



Back
Top