NCAA FB Line discussion..(gambler thread)

[VOLnVEGAS]

LETS MAKE MONEY!!!...........This is the first edition of a planned reoccuring thread.

Maybe someone here is already doing this but I have not seen it. This one is for all the gamblers. If you are not a gambler and have a good solid pick please let us know. I am always suprised at how much knowledge I can find when I ask people on this board...I am in Vegas and playing the book all the time. Lets see what you got. I was thinkin for the NCAA FB we would only pick 5 SURE FIRE solid picks. So, I will start off mine. This week I am going by the odds from the ORLEANS casino in Vegas. Here is what I got. May change but right now the ones I like...And by the way I dont really like betting on the VOLS because I love them so much. So I try not to have money on them unless it is just outrageous lines. So after the long preamble here are my picks for tomm...(so far!)

Underdog pick..I am takin Syracuse over South Florida at 7 point dog. It is in Syracuse.

They have a 3000 dollar cap on this one..Texas Tech (-36) fav at home over New Mexico. This one could get way outta control QUICKLY.

Washington Huskies at Notre Dame. Does the Irish really have it in them to beat the Huskies by 13?? I dont think so. I am taking Washington.

LSU at Georgia..I hesitated earlier in the week on this one. Have waffled a bit on how I am thinking. Tough pick but I think Miles will break thru finally against GA...I am takin LSU with 2.5 points...

Last one I got right now....OVER and Under. My favorite kinda bet....Oklahoma and Miami FLA..No Bradford i guess but who knows really. OVER UNDER is at 49.. I think they blow by that in the third quarter early...So i am taking the over.

So tell me where I am wrong and let me know who you got as locks. I love betting and can use all the help I can get. GO VOLS. TOMM I am doing the LMM NFL thread tomm nite.
Thanks

[BleedinOrange98]

titans jags over 41
saints cover 7 on jets
whoever's playing the chiefs will cover too, can't remember the opponent

[hmanvolfan]

Syracuse sucks bigtime. Huskies will crap out. Miles sucks and will go down.

[VolSwaff]

Originally Posted by hmanvolfan

Syracuse sucks bigtime. Huskies will crap out. Miles sucks and will go down.

I took Washington at Bodog

[vol66]

uga

[oUTKickedCoverage]

Wisconsin(-2) @ Minnesota - Minny has played close games against some really average teams, with the exception of a 14 point loss to Cal and an FCS blowout. Wisconsin hasn't been a world beater either, but their offense is productive. They should be able to take advantage of Minnesota's bottom 15 defense.

Alabama(-16) @ Kentucky - Alabama is the best team in the country right now, Kentucky is in the bottom 1/3 of the SEC in EVERY major category. Kentucky will have problems holding Alabama under 300 yards rushing. There is a risk of a backdoor cover, but it should be minimal.

Under51 OU @ Miami(Fl.) - I smell a 19-13 type of game here... too many injuries and inconsistency. Miami flat out can't run the ball(#99) vs. OU's TOP RANKED rushing defense will result in a lot of 4 and outs for Miami... and with Bradford dinged up, expect Oklahoma to grind it out and eat clock up(50+ rushes). I'm not sure how they did it, but the raw stats say Miami is a bad team... but I think there is enough perception of them as dangerous to keep OU conservative.

Under48 Ohio @ BGSU - Bowling Green can pass, Ohio can defend it... That's about the only positive either team has.

Iowa State(-2.5) vs. Kansas State - KSU is flat out awful, Iowa State looks like they could sneak into a bowl this season. Alexander Robinson is averaging well over 5YPC, and UCLA ran all over KSU.

Washington State(+35) @ Oregon - Seriously? 35 points? Oregon is overvalued in a HUGE way after the California game where everything went right for them and everything went wrong for Cal. Washington State hasn't made the strides UW has, but its certainly improved enough to hold the 88th ranked offense close enough to prevent a 35+ point loss. Very likely backdoor cover here.

Over66.5 Arkansas@Texas A&M - This reminds me of a Hal Mumme intrasquad scrimmage at Kentucky. I hate taking an over like this, but nothing indicates to me that either team can slow down the other. I would also consider taking Texas A&M as I think their offense is a bit better.

Insane throwing money away bet
Arkansas State SU(-900) @ Iowa - Quality rushing team in ASU, Iowa coming off a huge win... that has everyone forgetting about the Northern Iowa near loss. Iowa's QB loves to throw into coverage resulting in a lot of blowups and a 1/1 INT/TD ratio.

Not the most likely upset, but food for thought.

Don't like the LSU bet, with UGA being at home and neither team looking very impressive.
50/50 game to me.

[VolSwaff]

Great thread idea

[VOLnVEGAS]

Great picks from everybody so far. I like them.

[JFreak]

Bama -16 @ KY
Tennessee -3 AU
Miami +7.5 Okla
Ohio +3 @ Bowl. Green

NFL Games:
Dallas -3 @ Denver
San Diego +6.5 @ Pitt
Take the under @43 in SDG vs Pitt

All lines taken from The Greek. Now if i could just figure out how to deposit on these sites lol.

[VOLnVEGAS]

Originally Posted by JFreak

Bama -16 @ KY
Tennessee -3 AU
Miami +7.5 Okla
Ohio +3 @ Bowl. Green

NFL Games:
Dallas -3 @ Denver
San Diego +6.5 @ Pitt
Take the under @43 in SDG vs Pitt

All lines taken from The Greek. Now if i could just figure out how to deposit on these sites lol.

The Greek is THE MAN

[PowerT83]

UCLA+5 vs Stanford

GT -7 vs MissST.

USF -6.5

Over on the Titans game

Cowboys and Lions ATS

[oUTKickedCoverage]

Originally Posted by oUTKickedCoverage

Wisconsin(-2) @ Minnesota - Minny has played close games against some really average teams, with the exception of a 14 point loss to Cal and an FCS blowout. Wisconsin hasn't been a world beater either, but their offense is productive. They should be able to take advantage of Minnesota's bottom 15 defense.
HIT


Alabama(-16) @ Kentucky - Alabama is the best team in the country right now, Kentucky is in the bottom 1/3 of the SEC in EVERY major category. Kentucky will have problems holding Alabama under 300 yards rushing. There is a risk of a backdoor cover, but it should be minimal.
HIT

Under51 OU Miami(Fl.) - I smell a 19-13 type of game here... too many injuries and inconsistency. Miami flat out can't run the ball(#99) vs. OU's TOP RANKED rushing defense will result in a lot of 4 and outs for Miami... and with Bradford dinged up, expect Oklahoma to grind it out and eat clock up(50+ rushes). I'm not sure how they did it, but the raw stats say Miami is a bad team... but I think there is enough perception of them as dangerous to keep OU conservative.
HIT

Under48 Ohio @ BGSU - Bowling Green can pass, Ohio can defend it... That's about the only positive either team has.
Big Miss

Iowa State(-2.5) vs. Kansas State - KSU is flat out awful, Iowa State looks like they could sneak into a bowl this season. Alexander Robinson is averaging well over 5YPC, and UCLA ran all over KSU.
MISS


Washington State(+35) @ Oregon - Seriously? 35 points? Oregon is overvalued in a HUGE way after the California game where everything went right for them and everything went wrong for Cal. Washington State hasn't made the strides UW has, but its certainly improved enough to hold the 88th ranked offense close enough to prevent a 35+ point loss. Very likely backdoor cover here.
MISS
Over66.5 Arkansas@Texas A&M - This reminds me of a Hal Mumme intrasquad scrimmage at Kentucky. I hate taking an over like this, but nothing indicates to me that either team can slow down the other. I would also consider taking Texas A&M as I think their offense is a bit better.
Shoulda bought the hook


Insane throwing money away bet
Arkansas State SU(-900) @ Iowa - Quality rushing team in ASU, Iowa coming off a huge win... that has everyone forgetting about the Northern Iowa near loss. Iowa's QB loves to throw into coverage resulting in a lot of blowups and a 1/1 INT/TD ratio.

Not the most likely upset, but food for thought.
ALMOST
Don't like the LSU bet, with UGA being at home and neither team looking very impressive.
50/50 game to me.

3-4

[VOLnVEGAS]

Very good so far outkicked!

[VOLnVEGAS]

The Ohio Bowling Green game is looking like a low scorer too...You are rolling

[JTrainDavis]

Originally Posted by oUTKickedCoverage

Wisconsin(-2) @ Minnesota - Minny has played close games against some really average teams, with the exception of a 14 point loss to Cal and an FCS blowout. Wisconsin hasn't been a world beater either, but their offense is productive. They should be able to take advantage of Minnesota's bottom 15 defense.
.

I took this one on the ML, pretty nerve wracking but satisfying. Fun game to watch, lots of ebb and flow.

I have NCSU this afternoon +3.5 at Wake.