NCAA FB Line discussion..(gambler thread)

[VOLnVEGAS]

I went with the under on the OK Miami game...You changed my mind. Lets get it!

[VOLnVEGAS]

Originally Posted by VolSwaff

I took Washington at Bodog

Great pick!

[VOLnVEGAS]

We made it on the under! Too bad the Vols lost.......but we didnt.

[JFreak]

Originally Posted by JFreak

Bama -16 @ KY
Tennessee -3 AU
Miami +7.5 Okla
Ohio +3 @ Bowl. Green

NFL Games:
Dallas -3 @ Denver
San Diego +6.5 @ Pitt
Take the under @43 in SDG vs Pitt

All lines taken from The Greek. Now if i could just figure out how to deposit on these sites lol.

3-1 so far just lost betting on UT as usual. Feel really good about my NFL picks tomm too.

[VOLnVEGAS]

I like your picks for tomm...I made some money today. Lets set it off tomm!!

[rockytophigh]

I took Houston -8.5 today. Anyone see anything else in the later games?

Sorry I'm late.....yesterday took East Carolina, Stanford, USF, Penn State, North Carolina (yuck), Houston (yuck) and Central Michigan (yuck)

[DownNDirty]

Weekly, one of my bosses friends picks the 10 games we are going to pick for the weekly pool. Usually about 25 cards play - and some guys play 2 or 3 cards.

I only play one card weekly and there's only a handful of times I finish out of the top 5. I've still only won once - and that was a tie - even tied the tiebreaker score. Anyway, here's the week 6 games we have and my little take on them. Glad to hear others takes as well - I don't turn the card in until Friday so I have time to change my mind.

1. Vandy -10.5 @ Army - Right off the bat a game I don't much care for. Army isn't all that great this year but Vandy isn't either. However, Vandy does play in the SEC and put up a big amount of points against MSU last week. I think their QB can run around enough and do just enough where they cover this week. I am on Vandy right now in this spot.

2. Purdue +3.5 @ Minnesota - I'm on Minnesota here. They just barely lost to a decent Wisconsin team at home last week while Purdue lost to Northwestern at home. These are two middle of the road Big Ten teams but a couple of stats that put me on Minnesota: Favorite is 8-1-1 in last 10 in the series and Minnesota are 12-3 ATS in last 15 against teams with losing records.

3. Boston College +13.5 @ Virginia Tech - I just think that's too many points to be giving a team that isn't that bad. After getting waxed by Clemson BC has bounced back with wins over FSU and Wake. Tech is looking stout right now but didn't exactly impress VS Duke last week. I wish the spread was 14 so it could push just in case but I see this being a game with a score of something like 27-17 or 31-20 or something like that.

4. Auburn -2.5 @ Arkansas - Good lord this is a head scratcher for me. Auburn is indeed undefeated and looking decent. Arkansas is up and down and just came off a total buttkicking of Texas A&M. Malzon leaves Arky on bad terms and now gets to coach against them. I feel that, along with Arkansas being so up and down, makes me lean Auburn right now.

5. Georgia +1 @ Tennessee - Well, they have to put the UT game in here every week. I try not to let my TN bias ever sway my decisions but I know that its possible that even try as I might I may still let emotions get in the way as it pertains to the Vols. I can see why the spread is what it is - Georgia isn't exactly putting up stellar numbers this year either. Still, with UT's shaky QB and WR play right now I am reluctantly leaning Dawgs here. Puke

6. Kentucky +10.5 @ South Carolina - Does SC ever cover against SEC teams? It doesn't seem that way. However, I'll bite again on them here and say they can at least beat KY by 11 at home. Spurrier owns the Wildcats. This looks on paper to me a 21-7 or 21-10 game.

7. Alabama -6.5 @ Ole Miss - Here I am going against the grain and picking Ole Miss. Don't know why except for the fact that Nutt seems to pull a big game out of his butt at least once a year. Bama is playing really good right now but I think Ole Miss at home will give them a ride here. The last 4 meetings between the two have all been decided by 4 points or less. That was the main kicker that puts me on Ole Miss here .

8. Oregon -6.5 @ UCLA - Just think Oregon is hitting their stride and UCLA is still not quite there yet this year. Oregon by 10-14.

9. Georgia Tech +2.5 @ FSU - Taking Tech here mainly because of all of the turmoil at FSU. Plus, FSU isn't exactly lighting things up at home and can't stop the run - something Tech does really well. Its hard to believe FSU may lose 3 in a row and call me a sucker but I'll take Tech here.

10. Florida -8 @ LSU - There was some crazy stat I heard that LSU hasn't lost a night home game in 4-5 years or something like that. All good things must come to an end but I still think that's too many points for an SEC team to cover on the road - even if it is Florida. My dad says Florida will win 42-24 - I say Florida wins but its more like 35-31.

[volmanbill]

Any thoughts on tonight's game?

Troy opened at -4 over MTSU but has since moved to -7.

[Vols N Shocks]

Awesome idea for a thread.

For the year I'm 23-21-1 ATS. A nice site for keeping track of how you pick is called Sports Betting Odds, Statistics and Picks ? Covers.com

I took MTSU at +7 last night, didn't work too well for me.

All my lines are from Bodog.

Looking towards Thursday's game:

-3 Nebraska vs +3 Missouri
I'll take Nebraska at -3. I think Nebraska wins the north this year, and I think Mizzou is soft.

Saturday Games

-10 WVU vs +10 Syracuse
I'm taking Syracuse. Syracuse is rolling. They have been playing good football this year, and losing close to all their opponents. WVU has been playing pretty poorly IMO. Too many mistakes against Colorado, and still couldn't just put them away. Should have beaten them by 35. I think Cuse keps it close.

-4 Mich State vs +4 Illinois
I think Mich State beats Illinois big this game. Illinois is starting a new QB, benching 38 game starter Juice Williams. Zook sees the writing on the wall, and a QB change midseason is desperation for him. Mich State played Michigan well last week, I see them with a W.

-6.5 Bama vs +6.5 Ole Miss
Why Ole Miss still gets good spreads is beyond me. They aren't as good as everyone thinks. I think Bama wins in a blow out.

-3.5 Bowling Green vs +3.5 Kent
Clawfense beats Kent, they've played well all year, losing by just a few to Ohio last week. They need a rebound game, and this is it. BG by atleast a TD.

Even Stanford vs Even Oregon State
Stanford is looking great this year, and OSU isn't. How this is a pick em game is beyond me. I pick Stanford in this one.

+14.5 Duke vs -14.5 NC State
Duke has been hanging with the teams that they have lost to this year, last year they lost to NCSt by 10. I think Duke loses, but no more than 2 TD's. I think because of the .5 duke is a good bet.

-4 Ohio vs +4 Akron
Solich has a good team this year, I think they beat Akron by a pair of TD's. The -4 is a good number, i think they win by atleast 1 TD.

+16 K State vs -16 T Tech
K State is horrible this year. A big rebuilding year for them. I think Tech rolls them.

+3 GTech vs -3 FSU
With all the news swirling around about Bowden, I think they win one for their coach. GTech's qb play has been atrocious this year, and FSU held their own with Miami. I think they pick it up, and finish their season strong. Win by a TD.

+8 Michigan vs -8 Iowa
Allowing Michigan to only lose by a TD and still win, is a great play imo. This might even be a game I pick Mich to win SU. Iowa hasn't really proven themself this year, except with PSU, and for some reason they just have PSU's number every year. I think Iowa is over rated, and bettors just can't understand Rich Rod has a good thing going up there yet.

-3 ASU vs +3 Washington
Coach Sark has Washington trucking just after half a season. I think they need a win after that heart breaker at ND. I pick Washingtion to win SU.

------------------------------------------------
Record for the week: 1-0-0

[VOLnVEGAS]

I too was very suprised that Troy was so dominate over MTSU. I didnt bet the game cause I want sure either way..

Still working on my picks for this weekend. DownNDirty and VolInShocks I like the picks. You all are disagreeing on the Alabama Ole Miss game. Think alot of people are picking both sides..

[Vols N Shocks]

Updated with more picks.

[droski]

oregon state tends to get it going later in the season. i could easily see them beating stanford. stanford's d is very slow and osu has good team speed.

[VOLnVEGAS]

The two early games we have left this week is

Nebraska at Missouri at 6pac on ESPN..My casino got it at -3 for Nebraska

and the other is

La Tech at Nevada ESPN 6pac on ESPN..Casino has Nevada -7.5 fav

VolNShock and others have much better read than I do on the Nebraska game. The one I have a little on is the Nevada game, the Friday night game. From what i am hearing lots of folks are betting on LA Tech. I have not broke down the numbers, but that was what they were talking up last night. Mind you it is the same group that talked up the over in the Monday Nite Football game and got blown away.

So who do you all take in this two games and why?

[DownNDirty]

I don't have any vested interest in the Nebraska/Mizzou game but I checked it out anyway and here's my meager thoughts.......

How in the world is a 4-0 home team a 3 1/2 point dog at this point? I realize Missouri hasn't played anyone but besides Nebraska's good showing against Virginia Tech they haven't played anyone either.

A couple of things to ponder about this game too.

The road team has won straight up only 3 times in the last 10 games of this series.

Its not usually a good idea to bet against a home dog on such a low spread.....

Saying all of that if I were just betting this weekend I think I'd stay away from this game. There is at least perceived value in several other games on Saturday. I wouldn't bet on this one unless I absolutely had to. And if I had to I guess I'd go with the prevailing trends and play the home dog Missouri here in this spot.

[Vols N Shocks]

Originally Posted by VOLnVEGAS

The two early games we have left this week is

Nebraska at Missouri at 6pac on ESPN..My casino got it at -3 for Nebraska

and the other is

La Tech at Nevada ESPN 6pac on ESPN..Casino has Nevada -7.5 fav

VolNShock and others have much better read than I do on the Nebraska game. The one I have a little on is the Nevada game, the Friday night game. From what i am hearing lots of folks are betting on LA Tech. I have not broke down the numbers, but that was what they were talking up last night. Mind you it is the same group that talked up the over in the Monday Nite Football game and got blown away.

So who do you all take in this two games and why?

I have had a bad time this year on the weekday games with teams from smaller conferences. I have no idea with that La Tech vs Nevada game. I took Hawaii in the last LT game. Man was I square on that game. Perfect example of me not doing well on the weekday games.

If someone has some decent info on this game, I may look to put some action on it.

On the Neb vs Miz game, one of my deciding factors was both teams play so far this year. Mizzou has not played a good team, imo, all year. They only beat Bowling Green by 7. Neb has played some tough teams, and stayed with them all year. Lost to VaTech by 1. Blew out a decent Ark St. team.

If Mizzou does win, I think they are for real, this is a big game for them.