06-10-2008, 03:19 PM
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#152 (permalink)
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| Still keeping VN honest.. Join Date: Jul 2005 Location: North Cacalac
Posts: 18,148
| Quote:
Originally Posted by lawgator1 I suppose that in a metaphysical and purely mathematical sense, every team playing in a BCS conference has the same chance Florida does. But in the real world, where these games are not independent events (like flipping a quarter, etc.), then I think we can give at least some weight to recent past performance, areas of improvement and decline, etc.
In other words, at this snapshot in time, you are theoretically right that UT and Florida begin next year 0-0.
As to your comment about Florida being in for a surprise this year, please elaborate. Are you referring to just the UT game, or in general?
If the former, please advise why anyone in their right mind would, ahead of the coming game, think that Florida is taking a step back and UT one forward, especially one so large so as to erase the deficit last year (not just in terms of score, but overall performance).
If the latter, please explain the factual basis for thinking that Florida is going to have a bad year. Are you privy to some sort of news on Harvins foot procedure recovery? Have you inside knowlegdeon a running back with a bad test score? Something tangible?
Or is this just wishful thinking by a diehard UT fan who cannot stand the fact that, in all probability (note: probability, not certainty) Florida will emerge victorious from Neyland this year? | we hate you.
signed,
Volnation. 
__________________ "it depends on what part of the country your standin' in as to how stupid you are."---Smokey and The Bandit |
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